Football · France Ligue 2 · 08/08, 20:45

Prediction: Clermont Foot vs Reims

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Clermont Foot0.92

Reims1.46

1X2

23% 28% 49%

Clermont Foot Draw Reims

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Clermont Foot 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWWWDDLD

Reims 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Clermont Foot 3–3 Reims (6 last)

Clermont Foot0-1Reims
Reims4-1Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot4-1Reims
Reims2-0Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot1-0Reims
Reims2-4Clermont Foot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clermont Foot 1482 · Reims 1567

	Clermont Foot	Draw	Reims
Our model	22%	29%	48%
Market	24%	27%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reims (rating 1482 vs 1567).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Clermont Foot	Reims
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.7	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.40

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.00 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:22 +9’	3.90	3.40	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:30 +1’	3.87	3.36	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Clermont Foot 3–0–3 Reims

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 France Ligue 2	Clermont Foot	0-1 HT 0-0	Reims
23/09/25 France Ligue 2	Reims	4-1 HT 2-0	Clermont Foot
28/04/24 France Ligue 1	Clermont Foot	4-1 HT 1-1	Reims
20/08/23 France Ligue 1	Reims	2-0 HT 1-0	Clermont Foot
30/04/23 France Ligue 1	Clermont Foot	1-0 HT 1-0	Reims
14/08/22 France Ligue 1	Reims	2-4 HT 2-0	Clermont Foot

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Clermont Foot	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dijon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guingamp	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Annecy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Grenoble	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Montpellier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nancy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star FC 93	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rodez Aveyron	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sochaux	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Laval	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Reims	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Boulogne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dunkerque	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Clermont Foot	Reims
Le Mans	0-1 L	1-1 D
Nancy	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Reims (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Clermont Foot

DLDWWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Grenoble Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
25/07	Montpellier Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
22/07	US Quevilly Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
15/07	Bourges Foot 18 Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	11	0	D
11/07	US Orleans 45 Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
09/05	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
02/05	Montpellier France Ligue 2	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
24/04	SC Bastia France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
17/04	Le Mans France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
10/04	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	6	7	D

Reims

DDWDDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	KV Kortrijk Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
25/07	Cercle Brugge Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/07	Paris FC Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/07	Francs Borains Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
09/05	Pau France Ligue 2	2-2	5-3	4	3	W
02/05	Le Mans France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
25/04	Nancy France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
18/04	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	2-0	3-2	6	8	W
10/04	Laval France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
04/04	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clermont Foot vs Reims?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reims win (49%). Probabilities: Clermont Foot 23%, draw 28%, Reims 49%.

How many goals are expected in Clermont Foot vs Reims?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Clermont Foot 0.92 · Reims 1.46), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Reims?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.