Football · France Ligue 2 · 08/08, 20:45
Prediction: Dunkerque vs Grenoble
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Dunkerque1.4
Grenoble0.92
1X2
Dunkerque
Draw
Grenoble
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dunkerque
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Grenoble
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunkerque
2–2–2
Grenoble
(6 last)
- Dunkerque0-1Grenoble
- Grenoble1-0Dunkerque
- Dunkerque2-0Grenoble
- Grenoble0-1Dunkerque
- Grenoble2-2Dunkerque
- Dunkerque0-0Grenoble
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunkerque 1475 · Grenoble 1486
| Dunkerque | Draw | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunkerque | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunkerque 2–2–2 Grenoble
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Grenoble |
| 13/09/25 France Ligue 2 | Grenoble | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dunkerque |
| 18/04/25 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Grenoble |
| 08/11/24 France Ligue 2 | Grenoble | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dunkerque |
| 13/01/24 France Ligue 2 | Grenoble | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Dunkerque |
| 16/09/23 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Grenoble |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clermont Foot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Red Star FC 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rodez Aveyron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sochaux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boulogne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunkerque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | KV Mechelen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/07 | Samsunspor Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Standard Liege Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Valenciennes Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/04 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Grenoble
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Asf Andrezieux Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Clermont Foot Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Troyes Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Sochaux Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Bourg-Peronnas Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Troyes France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Le Mans France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunkerque vs Grenoble?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunkerque win (48%). Probabilities: Dunkerque 48%, draw 28%, Grenoble 24%.
How many goals are expected in Dunkerque vs Grenoble?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Dunkerque 1.4 · Grenoble 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Grenoble?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.