Football · France Ligue 2 · 08/08, 20:45

Prediction: Pau vs Annecy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Pau1.52
Annecy1.38
1X2
40% 27% 33%
Pau Draw Annecy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pau 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLLLLL
Annecy 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWWWLLDD
Head-to-head
Pau 2–1–3 Annecy (6 last)
  • Annecy5-1Pau
  • Pau2-0Annecy
  • Pau1-0Annecy
  • Annecy2-0Pau
  • Annecy0-0Pau
  • Pau0-3Annecy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pau 1437 · Annecy 1502
PauDrawAnnecy
Our model40%27%33%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annecy (rating 1437 vs 1502).
  • H2H favours Annecy: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PauAnnecy
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.81.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.20.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/20/60%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 41.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.21.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pau 213 Annecy

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
France Ligue 2
Annecy5-1
HT 3-0
Pau
09/08/25
France Ligue 2
Pau2-0
HT 1-0
Annecy
28/03/25
France Ligue 2
Pau1-0
HT 0-0
Annecy
01/11/24
France Ligue 2
Annecy2-0
HT 1-0
Pau
27/01/24
France Ligue 2
Annecy0-0
HT 0-0
Pau
23/09/23
France Ligue 2
Pau0-3
HT 0-2
Annecy

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 St Etienne 000 000
1 Clermont Foot 000 000
1 Dijon 000 000
1 Guingamp 000 000
1 Annecy 000 000
1 Metz 000 000
1 Nantes 000 000
1 Grenoble 000 000
1 Montpellier 000 000
1 Nancy 000 000
1 Pau 000 000
1 Red Star FC 93 000 000
1 Rodez Aveyron 000 000
1 Sochaux 000 000
1 Laval 000 000
1 Reims 000 000
1 Boulogne 000 000
1 Dunkerque 000 000

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPauAnnecy
Nancy 1-3 L 1-1 D
Guingamp 2-1 W 1-0 W
Montpellier 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Annecy (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pau

DLWWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Real Unión
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 66 L
25/07 Real Sociedad B
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-4 26 L
21/07 Espanyol
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-4 33 L
09/05 Reims
France Ligue 2
2-2 3-5 33 L
02/05 Nancy
France Ligue 2
1-0 1-3 54 L
24/04 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-3 1-5 31 L
17/04 Guingamp
France Ligue 2
0-1 2-1 74 W
10/04 Amiens
France Ligue 2
1-0 1-0 44 W
06/04 Le Mans
France Ligue 2
0-2 0-4 34 L
20/03 Montpellier
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 44 D

Annecy

LWDWWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 SC Bastia
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-2 70 D
28/07 Nancy
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-1 D
17/07 FC Sion
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-4 33 L
09/05 Rodez Aveyron
France Ligue 2
0-2 1-2 90 L
02/05 Boulogne
France Ligue 2
1-0 2-1 42 W
24/04 Pau
France Ligue 2
3-0 5-1 11 W
17/04 Nancy
France Ligue 2
2-0 5-1 32 W
10/04 Montpellier
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 31 D
03/04 Guingamp
France Ligue 2
0-0 1-0 45 W
21/03 St Etienne
France Ligue 2
0-3 0-4 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pau vs Annecy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pau win (40%). Probabilities: Pau 40%, draw 27%, Annecy 33%.

How many goals are expected in Pau vs Annecy?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Pau 1.52 · Annecy 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pau vs Annecy?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.