Football · France Ligue 2 · 08/08, 20:45
Prediction: Sochaux vs St Etienne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Sochaux1.11
St Etienne1.6
1X2
Sochaux
Draw
St Etienne
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sochaux
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
St Etienne
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sochaux
3–0
St Etienne
(3 last)
- St Etienne2-3Sochaux
- Sochaux2-1St Etienne
- Sochaux1-0St Etienne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sochaux 1480 · St Etienne 1499
| Sochaux | Draw | St Etienne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 25% | 27% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sochaux: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sochaux | St Etienne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sochaux 3–0–0 St Etienne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/23 France Ligue 2 | St Etienne | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Sochaux |
| 10/10/22 France Ligue 2 | Sochaux | 2-1 HT 1-0 | St Etienne |
| 11/02/21 France Cup | Sochaux | 1-0 HT 1-0 | St Etienne |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clermont Foot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Red Star FC 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rodez Aveyron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sochaux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boulogne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sochaux
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Auxerre Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Dijon Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Metz Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Grenoble Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Le Puy France National |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Chateauroux France National |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Valenciennes France National |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 24/04 | Bourg-Peronnas France National |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Dijon France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | FC Fleury 91 France National |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
St Etienne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Venezia Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Rangers Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Servette Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 1 Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Troyes France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sochaux vs St Etienne?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Etienne win (48%). Probabilities: Sochaux 25%, draw 27%, St Etienne 48%.
How many goals are expected in Sochaux vs St Etienne?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Sochaux 1.11 · St Etienne 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sochaux vs St Etienne?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.