Football · France Ligue 2 · 05/09, 14:00
Prediction: Reims vs Guingamp
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Reims2.29
Guingamp0.64
1X2
Reims
Draw
Guingamp
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Reims
4-6-0 (W-D-L)
Guingamp
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Reims
4–2
Guingamp
(6 last)
- Guingamp0-2Reims
- Reims1-0Guingamp
- Guingamp0-1Reims
- Reims2-1Guingamp
- Reims1-4Guingamp
- Reims0-1Guingamp
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reims (rating 1585 vs 1393).
- H2H favours Reims: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reims | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reims 4–0–2 Guingamp
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Reims |
| 16/08/25 France Ligue 2 | Reims | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guingamp |
| 26/01/19 France Ligue 1 | Guingamp | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Reims |
| 24/11/18 France Ligue 1 | Reims | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Guingamp |
| 31/07/18 Elite Club Friendlies | Reims | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Guingamp |
| 19/03/16 France Ligue 1 | Reims | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Guingamp |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Reims | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Rodez Aveyron | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Nancy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Annecy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Metz | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Red Star FC 93 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Sochaux | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Pau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Laval | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Dijon | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Nantes | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reims | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star FC 93 | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Annecy | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Clermont Foot | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Pau | 5-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Boulogne | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Reims (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reims
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
2-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Le Mans France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 18/04 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/04 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Guingamp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SC Bastia France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/04 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reims vs Guingamp?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reims win (74%). Probabilities: Reims 74%, draw 18%, Guingamp 8%.
How many goals are expected in Reims vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Reims 2.29 · Guingamp 0.64), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Reims vs Guingamp?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.