Football · France Ligue 2 · 11/09, 20:00

Prediction: Nancy vs Reims

Team pages: Nancy · Reims

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Nancy1.22

Reims1.63

1X2

27% 28% 45%

Nancy Draw Reims

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nancy 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWDLWW

Reims 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DWDDWDDWWD

Head-to-head

Nancy 1–2–3 Reims (6 last)

Reims1-1Nancy
Nancy0-1Reims
Nancy0-2Reims
Reims3-0Nancy
Nancy1-1Reims
Nancy1-0Reims

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nancy 1513 · Reims 1576

	Nancy	Draw	Reims
Our model	27%	27%	46%
Market	26%	29%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reims (rating 1513 vs 1576).
H2H favours Reims: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nancy	Reims
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +2’	3.40	3.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 1–2–3 Reims

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 France Ligue 2	Reims	1-1 HT 1-0	Nancy
26/09/25 France Ligue 2	Nancy	0-1 HT 0-0	Reims
31/03/18 France Ligue 2	Nancy	0-2 HT 0-0	Reims
28/10/17 France Ligue 2	Reims	3-0 HT 2-0	Nancy
16/07/16 Club Friendly List	Nancy	1-1 HT 0-0	Reims
19/07/14 Club Friendly List	Nancy	1-0 HT 1-0	Reims

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
2	Annecy	5	3	1	1	7	5	10
3	Reims	5	2	3	0	12	7	9
4	Metz	5	2	3	0	8	4	9
5	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	4	4	8
6	Red Star FC 93	5	2	2	1	5	6	8
7	Nancy	4	2	1	1	3	1	7
8	Rodez Aveyron	5	2	1	2	11	11	7
9	Sochaux	5	1	3	1	2	4	6
10	Dunkerque	5	1	2	2	8	9	5
11	Guingamp	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
12	Pau	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
13	Boulogne	5	0	4	1	2	3	4
14	Clermont Foot	5	0	4	1	3	5	4
15	Grenoble	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
16	Laval	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
17	Dijon	5	0	3	2	5	7	3
18	Nantes	4	0	1	3	6	11	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nancy	Reims
Dunkerque	2-0 W	3-3 D
Pau	1-0 W	5-3 W
Annecy	1-5 L	3-1 W
Clermont Foot	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Reims (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nancy

DDLDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
21/08	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
14/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
08/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
09/05	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	2-0	3-2	3	2	W
02/05	Pau France Ligue 2	0-1	3-1	6	4	W
25/04	Reims France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	0	10	D
17/04	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-2	1-5	1	2	L
10/04	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-0	2-2	1	7	D
04/04	St Etienne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	2	3	D

Reims

DWDDWDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	0	2	D
29/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
24/08	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
14/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-1	3-3	2	7	D
08/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
09/05	Pau France Ligue 2	2-2	5-3	4	3	W
02/05	Le Mans France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
25/04	Nancy France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
18/04	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	2-0	3-2	6	8	W
10/04	Laval France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Reims?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reims win (45%). Probabilities: Nancy 27%, draw 28%, Reims 45%.

How many goals are expected in Nancy vs Reims?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Nancy 1.22 · Reims 1.63), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nancy vs Reims?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.