Football · France Ligue 2 · 11/09, 20:00

Prediction: Clermont Foot vs Boulogne

Team pages: Clermont Foot · Boulogne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.67Total

Clermont Foot1.18

Boulogne0.49

1X2

52% 34% 14%

Clermont Foot Draw Boulogne

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

1-0 21%

Recent form · 10 last

Clermont Foot 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWDLDD

Boulogne 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDLDDD

Head-to-head

Clermont Foot 2–1–1 Boulogne (4 last)

Boulogne0-2Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot1-1Boulogne
Clermont Foot1-2Boulogne
Boulogne1-3Clermont Foot

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clermont Foot (rating 1499 vs 1450).
H2H favours Clermont Foot: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Clermont Foot	Boulogne
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.94

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.34 → 2.34	Pinn 2.34
X	3.18 → 3.18	Pinn 3.18
2	3.19 → 3.19	Pinn 3.19

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:06	2.34	3.18	3.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Clermont Foot 2–1–1 Boulogne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 France Ligue 2	Boulogne	0-2 HT 0-0	Clermont Foot
05/12/25 France Ligue 2	Clermont Foot	1-1 HT 0-0	Boulogne
25/05/25 France Ligue 2 Play-Offs	Clermont Foot	1-2 HT 0-0	Boulogne
20/05/25 France Ligue 2 Play-Offs	Boulogne	1-3 HT 1-1	Clermont Foot

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	4	4	0	0	13	3	12
2	Annecy	5	3	1	1	7	5	10
3	Reims	4	2	2	0	10	5	8
4	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
5	Red Star FC 93	5	2	2	1	5	6	8
6	Rodez Aveyron	4	2	1	1	10	7	7
7	Nancy	4	2	1	1	3	1	7
8	Metz	4	1	3	0	4	3	6
9	Sochaux	5	1	3	1	2	4	6
10	Dunkerque	5	1	2	2	8	9	5
11	Pau	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
12	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	5	6	4
13	Boulogne	5	0	4	1	2	3	4
14	Clermont Foot	5	0	4	1	3	5	4
15	Grenoble	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
16	Laval	5	1	1	3	5	10	4
17	Dijon	5	0	3	2	5	7	3
18	Nantes	4	0	1	3	6	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Clermont Foot	Boulogne
Dijon	1-1 D	1-1 D
Guingamp	1-0 W	0-1 L
Montpellier	2-1 W	0-0 D
Le Mans	0-1 L	0-0 D
Nancy	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Clermont Foot (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clermont Foot

DDLDWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
21/08	Dijon France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
14/08	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
08/08	Reims France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
09/05	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
02/05	Montpellier France Ligue 2	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
24/04	SC Bastia France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
17/04	Le Mans France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
10/04	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	6	7	D
03/04	Grenoble France Ligue 2	1-2	2-2	4	4	D

Boulogne

DLLLLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	10	4	D
28/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
21/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
14/08	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
08/08	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
09/05	Laval France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	3	2	L
02/05	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
27/04	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-2	2-6	5	3	L
18/04	Troyes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
11/04	Le Mans France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clermont Foot vs Boulogne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Clermont Foot win (52%). Probabilities: Clermont Foot 52%, draw 34%, Boulogne 14%.

How many goals are expected in Clermont Foot vs Boulogne?

The model expects 1.67 goals (Clermont Foot 1.18 · Boulogne 0.49), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Boulogne?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.