Prediction: Montpellier vs Pau
Team pages: Montpellier · Pau
- Pau0-0Montpellier
- Montpellier0-1Pau
- Pau2-1Montpellier
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1551 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Pau: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montpellier | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 0–1–2 Pau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montpellier |
| 06/12/25 France Ligue 2 | Montpellier | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pau |
| 06/01/23 France Cup | Pau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Montpellier |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Annecy | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Reims | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Metz | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Nancy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Rodez Aveyron | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
| 9 | Sochaux | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Pau | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Clermont Foot | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Laval | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Dijon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Nantes | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montpellier | Pau |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Dijon | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Amiens | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Annecy | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Montpellier (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montpellier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
Pau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Pau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montpellier win (61%). Probabilities: Montpellier 61%, draw 24%, Pau 15%.
How many goals are expected in Montpellier vs Pau?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Montpellier 1.87 · Pau 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Pau?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

