Football · France Ligue 2 · 18/09, 20:00

Prediction: Rodez Aveyron vs Nancy

Team pages: Rodez Aveyron · Nancy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Rodez Aveyron1.89

Nancy1.16

1X2

53% 24% 22%

Rodez Aveyron Draw Nancy

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Rodez Aveyron 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLWDLL

Nancy 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLWWLL

Head-to-head

Rodez Aveyron 2–4–0 Nancy (6 last)

Nancy1-3Rodez Aveyron
Rodez Aveyron0-0Nancy
Rodez Aveyron1-1Nancy
Nancy0-2Rodez Aveyron
Rodez Aveyron1-1Nancy
Nancy2-2Rodez Aveyron

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodez Aveyron (rating 1535 vs 1480).
H2H favours Rodez Aveyron: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rodez Aveyron	Nancy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.23 → 2.23	Pinn 2.23
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.50
2	3.11 → 3.11	Pinn 3.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:32 +346’	2.23	3.50	3.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodez Aveyron 2–4–0 Nancy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 France Ligue 2	Nancy	1-3 HT 0-1	Rodez Aveyron
09/08/25 France Ligue 2	Rodez Aveyron	0-0 HT 0-0	Nancy
19/04/22 France Ligue 2	Rodez Aveyron	1-1 HT 0-0	Nancy
20/11/21 France Ligue 2	Nancy	0-2 HT 0-2	Rodez Aveyron
08/05/21 France Ligue 2	Rodez Aveyron	1-1 HT 0-0	Nancy
08/01/21 France Ligue 2	Nancy	2-2 HT 1-1	Rodez Aveyron

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	6	5	0	1	17	6	15
2	Reims	6	3	3	0	14	8	12
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	5	4	11
4	Annecy	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
5	Metz	5	2	3	0	8	4	9
6	Sochaux	6	2	3	1	3	4	9
7	Dunkerque	6	2	2	2	10	10	8
8	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
9	Red Star FC 93	5	2	2	1	5	6	8
10	Nancy	6	2	1	3	4	4	7
11	Rodez Aveyron	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
12	Grenoble	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
13	Dijon	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
14	Boulogne	6	0	5	1	2	3	5
15	Pau	6	1	2	3	4	6	5
16	Clermont Foot	6	0	5	1	3	5	5
17	Nantes	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
18	Laval	6	1	1	4	7	13	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rodez Aveyron	Nancy
Pau	2-2 D	1-0 W
Nantes	5-2 W	0-1 L
Annecy	0-2 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rodez Aveyron (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rodez Aveyron

WDWWWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
05/09	Metz France Ligue 2	1-3	1-4	7	2	L
28/08	Pau France Ligue 2	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/08	Nantes France Ligue 2	1-2	5-2	6	5	W
14/08	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
08/08	Laval France Ligue 2	0-0	3-1	8	3	W
09/05	Annecy France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	5	0	W
02/05	St Etienne France Ligue 2	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
24/04	Laval France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
17/04	Amiens France Ligue 2	1-2	3-2	7	5	W

Nancy

LDWWDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Reims France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
07/09	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
28/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
21/08	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
14/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
08/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
09/05	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	2-0	3-2	3	2	W
02/05	Pau France Ligue 2	0-1	3-1	6	4	W
25/04	Reims France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	0	10	D
17/04	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-2	1-5	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rodez Aveyron vs Nancy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rodez Aveyron win (53%). Probabilities: Rodez Aveyron 53%, draw 24%, Nancy 22%.

How many goals are expected in Rodez Aveyron vs Nancy?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Rodez Aveyron 1.89 · Nancy 1.16), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rodez Aveyron vs Nancy?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.