Football · France Ligue 2 · 18/09, 20:00
Prediction: Pau vs Dunkerque
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Pau1.37
Dunkerque1.69
1X2
Pau
Draw
Dunkerque
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pau
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Dunkerque
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pau
0–2–4
Dunkerque
(6 last)
- Dunkerque3-1Pau
- Pau0-3Dunkerque
- Pau1-1Dunkerque
- Dunkerque3-2Pau
- Dunkerque1-0Pau
- Pau1-1Dunkerque
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunkerque (rating 1404 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Dunkerque: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pau | Dunkerque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pau 0–2–4 Dunkerque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/26 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Pau |
| 24/10/25 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Dunkerque |
| 10/01/25 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dunkerque |
| 20/09/24 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Pau |
| 09/03/24 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Pau |
| 02/12/23 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dunkerque |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Annecy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Metz | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Sochaux | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Red Star FC 93 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Dijon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 | Pau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 17 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
| 18 | Laval | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pau | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Nancy | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Reims | 3-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Dunkerque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/04 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pau vs Dunkerque?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunkerque win (44%). Probabilities: Pau 30%, draw 26%, Dunkerque 44%.
How many goals are expected in Pau vs Dunkerque?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Pau 1.37 · Dunkerque 1.69), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pau vs Dunkerque?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.