Football · France Ligue 2 · 08/08, 20:45
Prediction: Nantes vs Red Star FC 93
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Nantes1.77
Red Star FC 930.97
1X2
Nantes
Draw
Red Star FC 93
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nantes
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Red Star FC 93
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nantes 1498 · Red Star FC 93 1486
| Nantes | Draw | Red Star FC 93 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantes | Red Star FC 93 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.5 | 1.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clermont Foot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Red Star FC 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rodez Aveyron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sochaux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boulogne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Al-Wakrah SC World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Le Mans Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | La Roche VF Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Lorient Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Fleury 91 Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
Red Star FC 93
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Amiens Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | UNFP Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Le Havre Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Troyes Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/05 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 1 Play-Offs |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
3-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/04 | SC Bastia France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantes vs Red Star FC 93?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantes win (55%). Probabilities: Nantes 55%, draw 26%, Red Star FC 93 19%.
How many goals are expected in Nantes vs Red Star FC 93?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Nantes 1.77 · Red Star FC 93 0.97), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nantes vs Red Star FC 93?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.