Football · Denmark Division 1 · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge

Team pages: Aarhus Fremad · HB Køge

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Aarhus Fremad1.54
HB Køge0.82
1X2
53% 28% 19%
Aarhus Fremad Draw HB Køge
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Aarhus Fremad 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWDLWWWL
HB Køge 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WDWLLLWLLL
Head-to-head
Aarhus Fremad 0–2–2 HB Køge (4 last)
  • Aarhus Fremad0-0HB Køge
  • HB Køge2-0Aarhus Fremad
  • Aarhus Fremad2-2HB Køge
  • HB Køge2-1Aarhus Fremad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarhus Fremad (rating 1528 vs 1475).
  • H2H favours HB Køge: 2-2-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Aarhus FremadHB Køge
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.70.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 61.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 02.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aarhus Fremad 022 HB Køge

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Denmark Division 1
Aarhus Fremad0-0
HT 0-0
HB Køge
06/04/26
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge2-0
HT 0-0
Aarhus Fremad
23/11/25
Denmark Division 1
Aarhus Fremad2-2
HT 1-1
HB Køge
25/07/25
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge2-1
HT 1-0
Aarhus Fremad

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AaB 2200 316
2 FC Fredericia 2110 414
3 Vejle 2110 424
4 Esbjerg 2110 434
5 Hvidovre IF 2110 324
6 Aarhus Fremad 2101 333
7 AB Copenhagen 2020 332
8 Vendsyssel FF 1010 221
9 Kolding IF 2011 121
10 Hobro IK 1001 120
11 Hillerød 2002 240
12 HB Køge 2002 050

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAarhus FremadHB Køge
AaB 1-2 L 0-1 L
Hobro IK 2-1 W 0-1 L
B93 Copenhagen 2-2 D 3-2 W
Middelfart 1-0 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HB Køge (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aarhus Fremad

WDWWDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-2 48 L
26/07 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-1 64 W
16/07 Brabrand
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 115 W
08/07 Silkeborg IF
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 22 W
04/07 Esbjerg
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-2 L
30/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-2 34 D
22/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
1-0 5-0 93 W
14/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-0 61 W
09/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 97 D
01/05 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 42 W

HB Køge

WDWLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Vejle
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-2 100 L
25/07 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
18/07 Naestved
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-2 L
11/07 FC Roskilde
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 41 W
03/07 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 32 L
30/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 13 L
24/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 52 L
16/05 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
3-0 4-0 62 W
09/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
1-2 3-2 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aarhus Fremad win (53%). Probabilities: Aarhus Fremad 53%, draw 28%, HB Køge 19%.

How many goals are expected in Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Aarhus Fremad 1.54 · HB Køge 0.82), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aarhus Fremad vs HB Køge?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.