Football · North Macedonia First League · 23/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Sileks vs KF Shkendija Haracine

Team pages: FK Sileks · KF Shkendija Haracine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FK Sileks1.96

KF Shkendija Haracine0.59

1X2

70% 20% 10%

FK Sileks Draw KF Shkendija Haracine

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Sileks 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLDDDW

KF Shkendija Haracine 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWLDL

Head-to-head

FK Sileks 0–1–0 KF Shkendija Haracine (1 last)

KF Shkendija Haracine1-1FK Sileks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Sileks 1504 · KF Shkendija Haracine 1508

	FK Sileks	Draw	KF Shkendija Haracine
Our model	69%	22%	9%
Market	70%	19%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Sileks	KF Shkendija Haracine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.5	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.75

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.28▼	Pinn 1.41 ★
X	4.10 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
2	6.25 → 8.50▲	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +2’	1.42	4.10	6.25
23:52 +9’	1.28▼	4.75▲	8.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:20 +41’	1.41	3.97	5.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sileks 0–1–0 KF Shkendija Haracine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 North Macedonia First League	KF Shkendija Haracine	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Sileks

Standings · North Macedonia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shkendija Tetovo	10	7	2	1	24	10	23
2	FC Struga Trim & Lum	10	6	2	2	22	7	20
3	Vardar Skopje	10	6	2	2	17	9	20
4	Tikves Kavadarci	10	4	5	1	21	8	17
5	KF Shkendija Haracine	10	4	2	4	7	12	14
6	FK Sileks	10	3	4	3	17	11	13
7	Bregalnica Stip	10	3	1	6	11	17	10
8	KF Arsimi	10	2	4	4	8	21	10
9	KF Bashkimi	10	2	1	7	9	29	7
10	FK Skopje	10	0	3	7	5	17	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Sileks	KF Shkendija Haracine
KF Bashkimi	3-0 W	2-1 W
KF Arsimi	1-1 D	0-2 L
Tikves Kavadarci	0-0 D	1-0 W
Bregalnica Stip	2-2 D	1-0 W
FC Struga Trim & Lum	0-1 L	0-2 L
Shkendija Tetovo	0-2 L	1-1 D
Vardar Skopje	1-4 L	0-2 L
FK Skopje	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Sileks

WDWLLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
10/10	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/09	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
07/09	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
28/08	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
24/08	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	1-1	1-4	4	3	L
15/08	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
07/08	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
26/07	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	3-0	6-0	6	0	W

KF Shkendija Haracine

LDWLWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
11/10	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
19/09	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
14/09	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/09	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
30/08	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
15/08	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
07/08	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
25/07	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Sileks vs KF Shkendija Haracine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Sileks win (70%). Probabilities: FK Sileks 70%, draw 20%, KF Shkendija Haracine 10%.

How many goals are expected in FK Sileks vs KF Shkendija Haracine?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FK Sileks 1.96 · KF Shkendija Haracine 0.59), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Sileks vs KF Shkendija Haracine?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.