Football · North Macedonia First League · 02/11, 12:00

Prediction: FK Skopje vs FK Sileks

Team pages: FK Skopje · FK Sileks

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

FK Skopje0.59

FK Sileks1.66

1X2

13% 24% 63%

FK Skopje Draw FK Sileks

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Skopje 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLDDLLLLLL

FK Sileks 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDDDWW

Head-to-head

FK Skopje 0–1–5 FK Sileks (6 last)

FK Sileks3-0FK Skopje
FK Sileks3-1FK Skopje
FK Skopje0-0FK Sileks
FK Sileks3-1FK Skopje
FK Sileks2-1FK Skopje
FK Skopje0-2FK Sileks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Skopje 1432 · FK Sileks 1529

	FK Skopje	Draw	FK Sileks
Our model	12%	26%	62%
Market	14%	22%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sileks (rating 1432 vs 1529).
H2H favours FK Sileks: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Skopje	FK Sileks
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.7	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.50

X4.10

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.88

2 (-1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:56 +25’	6.50	4.10	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Skopje 0–1–5 FK Sileks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 North Macedonia First League	FK Sileks	3-0 HT 0-0	FK Skopje
11/03/23 North Macedonia First League	FK Sileks	3-1 HT 1-0	FK Skopje
05/11/22 North Macedonia First League	FK Skopje	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Sileks
21/08/22 North Macedonia First League	FK Sileks	3-1 HT 1-0	FK Skopje
03/10/18 North Macedonia Cup	FK Sileks	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Skopje
19/09/18 North Macedonia Cup	FK Skopje	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Sileks

Standings · North Macedonia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shkendija Tetovo	11	7	3	1	24	10	24
2	FC Struga Trim & Lum	11	7	2	2	26	7	23
3	Tikves Kavadarci	12	5	6	1	25	10	21
4	Vardar Skopje	11	6	3	2	17	9	21
5	FK Sileks	11	4	4	3	19	11	16
6	KF Shkendija Haracine	12	4	3	5	8	15	15
7	Bregalnica Stip	11	4	1	6	15	20	13
8	KF Arsimi	11	2	4	5	11	25	10
9	KF Bashkimi	11	2	1	8	10	32	7
10	FK Skopje	11	0	3	8	5	21	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Skopje	FK Sileks
FC Struga Trim & Lum	0-4 L	0-1 L
Shkendija Tetovo	1-3 L	0-2 L
Vardar Skopje	1-2 L	1-4 L
Bregalnica Stip	0-1 L	2-2 D
KF Shkendija Haracine	0-1 L	2-0 W
KF Bashkimi	1-2 L	3-0 W
KF Arsimi	0-0 D	1-1 D
Tikves Kavadarci	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 6 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Sileks (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Skopje

DLDDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
18/10	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	1-2	1-3	7	5	L
11/10	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
23/09	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	0	9	L
14/09	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
05/09	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-2	7	10	L
29/08	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
21/08	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
15/08	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-3	0	2	L
09/08	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-1	3	6	D

FK Sileks

DWLLLDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/10	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
10/10	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/09	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
07/09	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
28/08	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
24/08	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	1-1	1-4	4	3	L
15/08	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
07/08	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Skopje vs FK Sileks?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Sileks win (63%). Probabilities: FK Skopje 13%, draw 24%, FK Sileks 63%.

How many goals are expected in FK Skopje vs FK Sileks?

The model expects 2.25 goals (FK Skopje 0.59 · FK Sileks 1.66), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Skopje vs FK Sileks?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.