Football · Denmark Division 1 · 09/08, 15:00
Prediction: FC Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FF
Team pages: FC Fredericia · Vendsyssel FF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
FC Fredericia2.08
Vendsyssel FF1
1X2
FC Fredericia
Draw
Vendsyssel FF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fredericia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Vendsyssel FF
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Fredericia
5–1–0
Vendsyssel FF
(6 last)
- Vendsyssel FF0-1FC Fredericia
- FC Fredericia4-2Vendsyssel FF
- Vendsyssel FF1-4FC Fredericia
- FC Fredericia3-1Vendsyssel FF
- FC Fredericia0-0Vendsyssel FF
- Vendsyssel FF0-2FC Fredericia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Fredericia 1548 · Vendsyssel FF 1505
| FC Fredericia | Draw | Vendsyssel FF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fredericia (rating 1548 vs 1505).
- H2H favours FC Fredericia: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Fredericia | Vendsyssel FF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.6 | 3.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fredericia 5–1–0 Vendsyssel FF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/25 Denmark Division 1 | Vendsyssel FF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Fredericia |
| 27/07/24 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Vendsyssel FF |
| 24/05/24 Denmark Division 1 | Vendsyssel FF | 1-4 HT 0-1 | FC Fredericia |
| 02/04/24 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Vendsyssel FF |
| 01/12/23 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vendsyssel FF |
| 01/09/23 Denmark Division 1 | Vendsyssel FF | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Fredericia |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AaB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Fredericia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Vejle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Hvidovre IF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Aarhus Fremad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | AB Copenhagen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 8 | Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Kolding IF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Hobro IK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Fredericia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Esbjerg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | CD Mafra Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Holstein Kiel Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Vejle Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
Vendsyssel FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Vejgaard B Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Kolding IF Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | KFUM Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fredericia win (62%). Probabilities: FC Fredericia 62%, draw 22%, Vendsyssel FF 16%.
How many goals are expected in FC Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FF?
The model expects 3.08 goals (FC Fredericia 2.08 · Vendsyssel FF 1), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FF?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.