Football · Croatia HNL · 09/08, 18:30

Prediction: Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin

Team pages: Slaven Belupo · NK Varazdin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Slaven Belupo1.49
NK Varazdin1.39
1X2
38% 28% 34%
Slaven Belupo Draw NK Varazdin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slaven Belupo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLDWL
NK Varazdin 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Slaven Belupo 3–3 NK Varazdin (6 last)
  • NK Varazdin2-1Slaven Belupo
  • Slaven Belupo0-2NK Varazdin
  • NK Varazdin1-3Slaven Belupo
  • Slaven Belupo3-1NK Varazdin
  • Slaven Belupo0-1NK Varazdin
  • NK Varazdin0-1Slaven Belupo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slaven Belupo 1436 · NK Varazdin 1580
Slaven BelupoDrawNK Varazdin
Our model39%27%34%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Varazdin (rating 1436 vs 1580).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.31.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 0.11.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slaven Belupo 303 NK Varazdin

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Croatia HNL
NK Varazdin2-1
HT 1-1
Slaven Belupo
31/01/26
Croatia HNL
Slaven Belupo0-2
HT 0-2
NK Varazdin
25/10/25
Croatia HNL
NK Varazdin1-3
HT 1-2
Slaven Belupo
10/08/25
Croatia HNL
Slaven Belupo3-1
HT 1-1
NK Varazdin
22/04/25
Croatia HNL
Slaven Belupo0-1
HT 0-0
NK Varazdin
16/02/25
Croatia HNL
NK Varazdin0-1
HT 0-1
Slaven Belupo

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb 110 203
1 NK Osijek 110 203
3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 110 323
4 HNK Rijeka 110 213
4 NK Varazdin 110 213
6 Istra 1961 101 230
7 Hajduk Split 101 120
7 NK Rudes 101 120
9 HNK Gorica 101 020
9 Slaven Belupo 101 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slaven Belupo

LLLWLLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-2 12 L
25/07 NK Sesvete
Europe Friendlies
3-0 4-0 72 W
21/07 Shakhtar Donetsk
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 11 D
16/07 Paksi
Europe Friendlies
1-3 3-5 63 L
14/07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
World Club Friendlies
1-2 1-3 10 L
10/07 Debreceni VSC
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 133 L
08/07 FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-1 94 W
04/07 Zalaegerszegi TE
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-3 31 L
22/05 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-2 20 L
17/05 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
1-0 1-4 51 L

NK Varazdin

LWWWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-0 2-1 14 W
30/07 FK Jablonec
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 0-2 34 L
23/07 FK Jablonec
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-1 3-2 15 W
16/07 ND Beltinci
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 70 W
16/07 NK Kustosija
Europe Friendlies
0-0 3-1 62 W
12/07 FC Bihor Oradea
Europe Friendlies
2-0 3-1 21 W
10/07 NK Radomlje
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 32 W
04/07 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 61 W
02/07 FC Voluntari
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 30 W
27/06 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 80 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slaven Belupo win (38%). Probabilities: Slaven Belupo 38%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 34%.

How many goals are expected in Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Slaven Belupo 1.49 · NK Varazdin 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.