Football · Croatia HNL · 15/08, 21:00

Prediction: NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Team pages: NK Osijek · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

NK Osijek1.17

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.19

1X2

34% 31% 35%

NK Osijek Draw NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NK Osijek 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWLWW

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWDWWW

Head-to-head

NK Osijek 0–4–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (6 last)

NK Osijek0-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-1NK Osijek
NK Osijek1-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1NK Osijek
NK Osijek1-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-0NK Osijek

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (rating 1523 vs 1581).
H2H favours NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Osijek	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.84

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.23 → 1.96▼	Pinn 1.96
X	2.87 → 2.97▲	Pinn 2.97
2	3.71 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:22 +1’	2.23	2.87	3.71
08:48	1.96▼	2.97▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Osijek 0–4–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Croatia HNL	NK Osijek	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
21/02/26 Croatia HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	3-1 HT 0-1	NK Osijek
23/11/25 Croatia HNL	NK Osijek	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
31/08/25 Croatia HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Osijek
09/05/25 Croatia HNL	NK Osijek	1-1 HT 1-0	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
08/03/25 Croatia HNL	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	3-0 HT 1-0	NK Osijek

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Osijek	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	NK Varazdin	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
4	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	HNK Rijeka	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Istra 1961	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
7	Hajduk Split	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
8	HNK Gorica	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
9	Slaven Belupo	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
10	NK Rudes	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Osijek	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica	2-0 W	3-1 W
Istra 1961	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

NK Osijek

LLWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	4-0	6-1	4	2	W
01/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
25/07	Caykur Rizespor Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	2	3	L
22/07	HNK Cibalia Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/07	Kispest Honved Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
13/07	Neftchi Baku Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/07	Paksi Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
22/05	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	0-0	2-0	16	0	W
16/05	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	0-2	0-2	9	4	L
10/05	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	0-1	0-1	1	8	L

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

DWWWDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	2-0	3-1	9	8	W
01/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
25/07	Sturm Graz II Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
17/07	Karpaty Lviv Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
13/07	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
10/07	Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-2	1	1	D
04/07	NK Bravo Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
01/07	Vllaznia Shkoder Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
27/06	NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
23/05	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	2	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win (35%). Probabilities: NK Osijek 34%, draw 31%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%.

How many goals are expected in NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The model expects 2.37 goals (NK Osijek 1.17 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.