Football · Croatia HNL · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb

Team pages: Hajduk Split · Dinamo Zagreb

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Hajduk Split1.52

Dinamo Zagreb1.5

1X2

37% 26% 36%

Hajduk Split Draw Dinamo Zagreb

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hajduk Split 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWWL

Dinamo Zagreb 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Hajduk Split 0–2–4 Dinamo Zagreb (6 last)

Dinamo Zagreb2-0Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split1-3Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb1-1Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split0-2Dinamo Zagreb
Hajduk Split1-3Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb2-2Hajduk Split

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Zagreb (rating 1555 vs 1607).
H2H favours Dinamo Zagreb: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hajduk Split	Dinamo Zagreb
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	2.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.99 → 2.99	Pinn 2.99
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	2.24 → 2.24	Pinn 2.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:59 +321’	2.99	3.51	2.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hajduk Split 0–2–4 Dinamo Zagreb

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	2-0 HT 1-0	Hajduk Split
08/03/26 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	1-3 HT 1-3	Dinamo Zagreb
06/12/25 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	1-1 HT 0-0	Hajduk Split
20/09/25 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	0-2 HT 0-1	Dinamo Zagreb
03/05/25 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	1-3 HT 0-0	Dinamo Zagreb
02/03/25 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	2-2 HT 1-1	Hajduk Split

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	7	5	1	1	17	9	16
2	Hajduk Split	8	5	1	2	16	8	16
3	NK Osijek	8	5	1	2	17	11	16
4	NK Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13	7	15
5	HNK Rijeka	7	4	2	1	13	7	14
6	Istra 1961	8	2	3	3	14	13	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	2	1	5	11	16	7
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7	16	7
9	HNK Gorica	8	1	2	5	5	12	5
10	NK Rudes	8	1	1	6	10	24	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hajduk Split	Dinamo Zagreb
Slaven Belupo	1-0 W	2-0 W
NK Rudes	4-0 W	4-0 W
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2-0 W	3-2 W
NK Osijek	4-0 W	2-4 L
HNK Gorica	2-1 W	1-0 W
Istra 1961	2-2 D	2-2 D
NK Varazdin	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hajduk Split

DWLDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
13/09	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
06/09	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	2-0	4-0	7	0	W
31/08	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
23/08	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	1-0	4-0	0	5	W
16/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
02/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
22/05	Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL	3-2	6-3	8	2	W
16/05	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-1	1-1	4	1	D

Dinamo Zagreb

WWDWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	2-1	3-2	7	6	W
12/09	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	0-2	2-4	6	7	L
05/09	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
29/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-2	2-2	8	4	D
22/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-1	3-1	5	4	W
14/08	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	2-0	4-0	12	4	W
31/07	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
23/05	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
17/05	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	0-1	4-1	1	1	W
09/05	Hajduk Split Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hajduk Split win (37%). Probabilities: Hajduk Split 37%, draw 26%, Dinamo Zagreb 36%.

How many goals are expected in Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Hajduk Split 1.52 · Dinamo Zagreb 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.