Football · Croatia HNL · 02/08, 21:00
Prediction: HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
HNK Rijeka1.81
NK Rudes0.56
1X2
HNK Rijeka
Draw
NK Rudes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
HNK Rijeka
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
NK Rudes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HNK Rijeka
6–0
NK Rudes
(6 last)
- NK Rudes0-3HNK Rijeka
- NK Rudes0-1HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka3-0NK Rudes
- NK Rudes1-2HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka4-0NK Rudes
- HNK Rijeka3-1NK Rudes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HNK Rijeka 1597 · NK Rudes 1530
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | NK Rudes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 23% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 17% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HNK Rijeka (rating 1597 vs 1530).
- H2H favours HNK Rijeka: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HNK Rijeka | NK Rudes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.1 | 3.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Rijeka 6–0–0 NK Rudes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/24 Croatia HNL | NK Rudes | 0-3 HT 0-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| 28/02/24 Croatia Cup | NK Rudes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| 16/12/23 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 3-0 HT 1-0 | NK Rudes |
| 01/10/23 Croatia HNL | NK Rudes | 1-2 HT 0-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| 22/07/23 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 4-0 HT 1-0 | NK Rudes |
| 28/04/19 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 3-1 HT 2-1 | NK Rudes |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | HNK Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | HNK Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Rudes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Slaven Belupo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HNK Rijeka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Derry City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Derry City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 16/07 | Jadran Dekani Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | NK Radomlje Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/06 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | NK Bravo Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
NK Rudes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | Shakhtar Donetsk Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/07 | FC Bihor Oradea Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Karlovac Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Rijeka win (69%). Probabilities: HNK Rijeka 69%, draw 20%, NK Rudes 11%.
How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes?
The model expects 2.37 goals (HNK Rijeka 1.81 · NK Rudes 0.56), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.