Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 19/08, 18:15

Prediction: Damac FC vs Al Taawon Buraidah

Team pages: Al Taawon Buraidah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Damac FC1.11

Al Taawon Buraidah1.7

1X2

25% 24% 51%

Damac FC Draw Al Taawon Buraidah

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Damac FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Al Taawon Buraidah 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Damac FC 1–2–3 Al Taawon Buraidah (6 last)

Damac FC2-1Al Taawon Buraidah
Al Taawon Buraidah6-1Damac FC
Al Taawon Buraidah3-0Damac FC
Damac FC2-2Al Taawon Buraidah
Damac FC0-1Al Taawon Buraidah
Al Taawon Buraidah0-0Damac FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Damac FC 1486 · Al Taawon Buraidah 1503

	Damac FC	Draw	Al Taawon Buraidah
Our model	24%	26%	50%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Taawon Buraidah: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Damac FC	Al Taawon Buraidah
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.90

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.99 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.82

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +7’	3.50	3.90	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:06 +1’	3.99	3.64	1.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Damac FC 1–2–3 Al Taawon Buraidah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/02/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Damac FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Al Taawon Buraidah
19/10/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Taawon Buraidah	6-1 HT 2-1	Damac FC
08/03/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Taawon Buraidah	3-0 HT 3-0	Damac FC
19/10/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Damac FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Al Taawon Buraidah
26/04/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Damac FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Al Taawon Buraidah
05/11/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Taawon Buraidah	0-0 HT 0-0	Damac FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Damac FC	Al Taawon Buraidah
Al Ittihad Jeddah	1-2 L	0-2 L
Al Khaleej Saihat	0-2 L	0-0 D
Al Hilal Riyadh	0-1 L	2-2 D
Al Ahli Jeddah	0-3 L	1-2 L
Al Najma	3-1 W	2-1 W
Al Riyadh	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Damac FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/05	Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-4	2	6	L
15/05	Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
10/05	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
02/05	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
28/04	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
23/04	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
09/04	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
04/04	Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
12/03	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	3-1	4	6	W
05/03	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	3-0	6	5	W

Al Taawon Buraidah

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
17/07	Helmond Sport World Club Friendlies	0-0	2-0	1	0	W
21/05	Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
15/05	Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
11/05	Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	1-2	7	5	L
03/05	Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	2-1	5-1	3	3	W
29/04	Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
23/04	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
11/04	Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League	1-2	1-2	3	11	L
04/04	Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	0-1	2-2	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Damac FC vs Al Taawon Buraidah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Taawon Buraidah win (51%). Probabilities: Damac FC 25%, draw 24%, Al Taawon Buraidah 51%.

How many goals are expected in Damac FC vs Al Taawon Buraidah?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Damac FC 1.11 · Al Taawon Buraidah 1.7), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Damac FC vs Al Taawon Buraidah?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.