Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 18/08, 20:00

Prediction: Al Draih vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Team pages: Al Draih · Al-Nassr Riyadh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Al Draih0.78
Al-Nassr Riyadh2.35
1X2
11% 17% 72%
Al Draih Draw Al-Nassr Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Al Draih 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWWLWWDDL
Al-Nassr Riyadh 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLWLLW
Head-to-head
Al Draih 0–1 Al-Nassr Riyadh (1 last)
  • Al Draih0-7Al-Nassr Riyadh
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Draih 1518 · Al-Nassr Riyadh 1555
Al DraihDrawAl-Nassr Riyadh
Our model10%19%72%
Market11%16%73%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al DraihAl-Nassr Riyadh
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.42.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.82.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.53.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Draih 001 Al-Nassr Riyadh

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/01/16
Saudi Arabia Cup
Al Draih0-7Al-Nassr Riyadh

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Draih

DLWWLWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Al Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-1 0-1 86 L
02/08 Al Ain SCC
World Club Friendlies
0-0 1-1 23 D
23/05 Al-Ula
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-1 1-1 89 D
18/05 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 3-0 65 W
14/05 Al-Bukayriyah FC
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-1 3-2 12 W
09/05 Al-Anwar
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-2 2-4 95 L
01/05 Abha
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-0 111 W
26/04 Al Jubail Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 2-1 106 W
21/04 Al Raed
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-2 1-3 86 L
13/04 Al Zulfi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 1-1 53 D

Al-Nassr Riyadh

WWLWDLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Al Fateh SC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
2-0 3-0 62 W
04/08 Almeria
World Club Friendlies
0-0 0-2 11 L
01/08 Estrela
World Club Friendlies
0-1 2-4 85 L
21/05 Damac FC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-0 4-1 66 W
16/05 Gamba Osaka
AFC Champions League Two
0-1 0-1 91 L
12/05 Al Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-0 1-1 57 D
07/05 Al Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
2-1 4-2 83 W
03/05 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-1 1-3 54 L
29/04 Al Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-0 2-0 87 W
22/04 Al-Ahli Doha
AFC Champions League Two
3-1 5-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Draih vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Nassr Riyadh win (72%). Probabilities: Al Draih 11%, draw 17%, Al-Nassr Riyadh 72%.

How many goals are expected in Al Draih vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Al Draih 0.78 · Al-Nassr Riyadh 2.35), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Draih vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.