Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 17/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh
Team pages: Al Hilal Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Al Raed0.78
Al Hilal Riyadh2.6
1X2
Al Raed
Draw
Al Hilal Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Al Raed
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Al Hilal Riyadh
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Raed
0–1–5
Al Hilal Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Raed3-5Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh3-2Al Raed
- Al Hilal Riyadh3-1Al Raed
- Al Raed0-4Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh3-2Al Raed
- Al Raed1-1Al Hilal Riyadh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Raed 1505 · Al Hilal Riyadh 1592
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Hilal Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 16% | 76% |
| Market | 9% | 14% | 77% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hilal Riyadh (rating 1505 vs 1592).
- H2H favours Al Hilal Riyadh: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Raed | Al Hilal Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 3.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Raed 0–1–5 Al Hilal Riyadh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Raed | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 07/12/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Al Raed |
| 18/02/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Al Raed |
| 24/08/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Raed | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 31/05/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Al Raed |
| 10/01/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Raed | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Raed
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Al Markhiya Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 15/04 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 08/04 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/03 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/07 | MC Alger Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Mamelodi Sundowns World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Sturm Graz II World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hilal Riyadh win (76%). Probabilities: Al Raed 9%, draw 15%, Al Hilal Riyadh 76%.
How many goals are expected in Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Al Raed 0.78 · Al Hilal Riyadh 2.6), with a 60% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Raed vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.