Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 18/08, 18:15

Prediction: Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Jeddah

Team pages: Al Ittihad Jeddah

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Al Najma0.92
Al Ittihad Jeddah2.05
1X2
16% 21% 63%
Al Najma Draw Al Ittihad Jeddah
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Al Najma 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDDLW
Al Ittihad Jeddah 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWLDWD
Head-to-head
Al Najma 0–2 Al Ittihad Jeddah (2 last)
  • Al Ittihad Jeddah1-0Al Najma
  • Al Najma0-1Al Ittihad Jeddah
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Najma 1432 · Al Ittihad Jeddah 1560
Al NajmaDrawAl Ittihad Jeddah
Our model15%22%63%
Market16%20%64%
Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad Jeddah (rating 1432 vs 1560).
  • H2H favours Al Ittihad Jeddah: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al NajmaAl Ittihad Jeddah
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.22.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.71.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.33.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Najma 002 Al Ittihad Jeddah

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Ittihad Jeddah1-0
HT 1-0
Al Najma
20/09/25
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Najma0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ittihad Jeddah

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl NajmaAl Ittihad Jeddah
Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 W 2-3 L
Al Ittifaq Dammam 0-0 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Najma

LLLWLLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/05 Al Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-0 1-0 88 W
14/05 Al Fateh SC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-1 0-2 55 L
09/05 Al Hazem
Saudi Arabia Pro League
2-2 2-2 15 D
04/05 Al Ittifaq Dammam
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-0 0-0 34 D
28/04 Al Khaleej Saihat
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-1 1-3 03 L
23/04 Al Taawon Buraidah
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-1 1-2 54 L
11/04 Neom SC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-0 2-1 34 W
03/04 Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-2 2-5 34 L
12/03 Damac FC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-0 1-3 86 L
06/03 Al Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-1 0-4 11 L

Al Ittihad Jeddah

WLLWWWLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Al Kholood
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-0 1-1 53 D
11/08 Al Jazira SC
AFC Champions League Qualification
2-0 4-1 27 W
30/07 Malaga
World Club Friendlies
2-0 2-2 01 D
30/07 Mallorca
World Club Friendlies
1-2 2-4 20 L
25/07 Las Palmas
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 W
25/07 Las Palmas
World Club Friendlies
1-0 2-1 25 W
21/07 Orlando Pirates
World Club Friendlies
2-1 3-2 24 W
21/05 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Saudi Arabia Pro League
1-3 1-5 55 L
17/05 Al Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-0 2-3 115 L
14/05 Al Ittifaq Dammam
Saudi Arabia Pro League
2-1 3-1 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Jeddah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ittihad Jeddah win (63%). Probabilities: Al Najma 16%, draw 21%, Al Ittihad Jeddah 63%.

How many goals are expected in Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Jeddah?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Al Najma 0.92 · Al Ittihad Jeddah 2.05), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Najma vs Al Ittihad Jeddah?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.