Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 17/08, 18:15
Prediction: Al Zulfi vs Al Riyadh
Team pages: Al Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Al Zulfi1.14
Al Riyadh1.89
1X2
Al Zulfi
Draw
Al Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Zulfi
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Al Riyadh
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Zulfi 1510 · Al Riyadh 1460
| Al Zulfi | Draw | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Zulfi (rating 1510 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Zulfi | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Zulfi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/04 | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/04 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/03 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/03 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
Al Riyadh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Al Gharafa World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/04 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Zulfi vs Al Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Riyadh win (54%). Probabilities: Al Zulfi 22%, draw 24%, Al Riyadh 54%.
How many goals are expected in Al Zulfi vs Al Riyadh?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Al Zulfi 1.14 · Al Riyadh 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Zulfi vs Al Riyadh?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.