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Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 17/08, 20:00

Prediction: Al Adalh vs Al Fayha

Team pages: Al Fayha

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Al Adalh1.05
Al Fayha1.8
1X2
21% 25% 54%
Al Adalh Draw Al Fayha
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Adalh 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLLDLWWWWW
Al Fayha 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLDWLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Al Adalh 1–3–2 Al Fayha (6 last)
  • Al Fayha1-1Al Adalh
  • Al Adalh2-1Al Fayha
  • Al Fayha1-0Al Adalh
  • Al Adalh0-0Al Fayha
  • Al Fayha2-0Al Adalh
  • Al Adalh1-1Al Fayha
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Adalh 1516 · Al Fayha 1416
Al AdalhDrawAl Fayha
Our model21%25%54%
Market21%24%55%
Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Adalh (rating 1516 vs 1416).
  • H2H favours Al Fayha: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al AdalhAl Fayha
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.90.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.20.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.62.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.32.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Adalh 1–3–2 Al Fayha

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/03/23
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Fayha1-1
HT 0-1
Al Adalh
07/10/22
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Adalh2-1
HT 1-0
Al Fayha
17/03/21
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Fayha1-0
HT 0-0
Al Adalh
30/11/20
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Adalh0-0
HT 0-0
Al Fayha
04/09/20
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Fayha2-0
HT 1-0
Al Adalh
09/01/20
Saudi Arabia Pro League
Al Adalh1-1
HT 0-0
Al Fayha

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Adalh

LLLDLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/05 Al Jubail Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 1-0 2-0 24 W
09/05 Abha
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 1-0 1-0 12 W
02/05 Al-Anwar
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 1-0 2-1 05 W
27/04 Al Jabalain
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 0-1 2-1 27 W
20/04 Al Jandal
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 1-1 2-1 104 W
14/04 Al Wehda Mecca
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 1-3 1-4 47 L
09/04 Al Batin
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 0-1 1-1 710 D
04/04 Al-Ula
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 1-1 1-4 115 L
07/03 Al-Bukayriyah FC
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 0-1 0-1 35 L
02/03 Al Faisaly Harmah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
 0-4 1-6 65 L

Al Fayha

DLDWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Neom SC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 0-2 1-2 42 L
31/07 FC Den Bosch
World Club Friendlies
 0-0 0-2 32 L
18/07 NEC
World Club Friendlies
 0-3 0-7 21 L
21/05 Al Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 0-1 0-1 32 L
15/05 Damac FC
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 0-1 0-3 62 L
09/05 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 0-1 1-2 33 L
04/05 Al Riyadh
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 2-0 4-2 91 W
30/04 Al Kholood
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 1-1 1-1 52 D
11/04 Al Hazm
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 0-1 0-2 106 L
08/04 Al Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Arabia Pro League
 0-1 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Adalh vs Al Fayha?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Fayha win (54%). Probabilities: Al Adalh 21%, draw 25%, Al Fayha 54%.

How many goals are expected in Al Adalh vs Al Fayha?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Al Adalh 1.05 · Al Fayha 1.8), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Adalh vs Al Fayha?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.