Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 16/08, 18:40

Prediction: Al Orubah vs Abha

Team pages: Abha

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Al Orubah1.16
Abha1.65
1X2
26% 26% 48%
Al Orubah Draw Abha
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Orubah 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWWWWD
Abha 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLLLDL
Head-to-head
Al Orubah 2–1–1 Abha (4 last)
  • Al Orubah1-2Abha
  • Abha2-3Al Orubah
  • Abha1-1Al Orubah
  • Al Orubah2-0Abha
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Orubah 1565 · Abha 1497
Al OrubahDrawAbha
Our model26%27%48%
Market26%25%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Orubah (rating 1565 vs 1497).
  • H2H favours Al Orubah: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Al OrubahAbha
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.61.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.31.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.33.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Orubah 211 Abha

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/02/26
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Orubah1-2
HT 1-0
Abha
28/09/25
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Abha2-3
HT 1-0
Al Orubah
27/03/19
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Abha1-1
HT 0-1
Al Orubah
07/11/18
Saudi Arabia Division 1
Al Orubah2-0Abha

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl OrubahAbha
Al-Ula 1-1 D 2-1 W
Jeddah Club 4-0 W 1-0 W
Al Raed 1-0 W 1-5 L
Al Batin 3-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Orubah (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Orubah

WWLWLWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/05 Al-Ula
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 1-1 87 D
14/05 Al-Anwar
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-1 3-1 43 W
09/05 Jeddah Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 4-0 43 W
02/05 Al Wehda Mecca
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-0 54 W
27/04 Al Jandal
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 2-1 93 W
22/04 Al Zulfi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-1 74 L
15/04 Al Raed
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 1-0 15 W
10/04 Al Faisaly Harmah
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 0-1 134 L
04/04 Al Batin
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 3-1 64 W
08/03 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 1-0 66 W

Abha

WWWWWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Al Hazm
Saudi Arabia Pro League
0-2 1-2 55 L
31/07 Caykur Rizespor
World Club Friendlies
0-0 0-0 35 D
13/05 Al Raed
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-3 1-5 42 L
09/05 Al Adalh
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-1 0-1 102 L
01/05 Al Draih
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-1 0-2 41 L
26/04 Al Batin
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 3-1 31 W
21/04 Al Taee
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-0 2-1 18 W
15/04 Jeddah Club
Saudi Arabia Division 1
0-0 1-0 120 W
09/04 Al-Ula
Saudi Arabia Division 1
1-1 2-1 34 W
03/04 Al-Bukayriyah FC
Saudi Arabia Division 1
2-0 2-1 17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Orubah vs Abha?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Abha win (48%). Probabilities: Al Orubah 26%, draw 26%, Abha 48%.

How many goals are expected in Al Orubah vs Abha?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Al Orubah 1.16 · Abha 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Orubah vs Abha?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.