Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 17/08, 18:00
Prediction: Al-Anwar vs Al Ahli Jeddah
Team pages: Al Ahli Jeddah
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Al-Anwar0.8
Al Ahli Jeddah2.8
1X2
Al-Anwar
Draw
Al Ahli Jeddah
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Al-Anwar
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Al Ahli Jeddah
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al-Anwar 1501 · Al Ahli Jeddah 1573
| Al-Anwar | Draw | Al Ahli Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 6% | 12% | 82% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahli Jeddah (rating 1501 vs 1573).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al-Anwar | Al Ahli Jeddah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al-Anwar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 13/04 | Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/04 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/04 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/03 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 01/03 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Al Ahli Jeddah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | Fulham Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 15/07 | Holstein Kiel World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Pinzgau Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al-Anwar vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ahli Jeddah win (80%). Probabilities: Al-Anwar 7%, draw 13%, Al Ahli Jeddah 80%.
How many goals are expected in Al-Anwar vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Al-Anwar 0.8 · Al Ahli Jeddah 2.8), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al-Anwar vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.