Football · Saudi Arabia Cup · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Shabab Riyadh
Team pages: Al Shabab Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Al Wehda Mecca1.14
Al Shabab Riyadh1.9
1X2
Al Wehda Mecca
Draw
Al Shabab Riyadh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Al Wehda Mecca
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Al Shabab Riyadh
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Wehda Mecca
3–3
Al Shabab Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Wehda Mecca1-3Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Shabab Riyadh3-1Al Wehda Mecca
- Al Shabab Riyadh1-0Al Wehda Mecca
- Al Wehda Mecca3-1Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Shabab Riyadh0-1Al Wehda Mecca
- Al Wehda Mecca2-1Al Shabab Riyadh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Wehda Mecca 1501 · Al Shabab Riyadh 1486
| Al Wehda Mecca | Draw | Al Shabab Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Wehda Mecca | Al Shabab Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Wehda Mecca 3–0–3 Al Shabab Riyadh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Wehda Mecca | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 31/10/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Al Wehda Mecca |
| 30/12/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Wehda Mecca |
| 18/08/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Wehda Mecca | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 18/05/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al Wehda Mecca |
| 05/01/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Wehda Mecca | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Wehda Mecca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/04 | Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/04 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/03 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/03 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Al Shabab Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | MC Alger World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Al-Ahli Doha Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Al Naser SC World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/05 | Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Shabab Riyadh win (54%). Probabilities: Al Wehda Mecca 22%, draw 24%, Al Shabab Riyadh 54%.
How many goals are expected in Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Al Wehda Mecca 1.14 · Al Shabab Riyadh 1.9), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Wehda Mecca vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.