Prediction: Jwaya FC vs Shabab Al-Sahel
Expected goals: 2.58 (Jwaya FC 1.68 · Shabab Al-Sahel 0.9). The model gives 55% home, 26% draw, 19% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Jwaya FC with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Shabab Al-Sahel has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Jwaya FC and 1 for Shabab Al-Sahel.
| Jwaya FC | Draw | Shabab Al-Sahel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jwaya FC (rating 1524 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jwaya FC | Shabab Al-Sahel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/78/11% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.7 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jwaya FC 0–0–1 Shabab Al-Sahel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/25 Lebanon League | Shabab Al-Sahel | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Jwaya FC |
Standings · Lebanon League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ansar Beirut | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 9 | 50 |
| 2 | Al Nejmeh | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Ahed | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 22 | 40 |
| 4 | Jwaya FC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Safa Beirut | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Sagesse SC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 30 |
| 7 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 26 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 22 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tadamon Sour | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Al Bourj | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Beirut | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jwaya FC | Shabab Al-Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Safa Beirut | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Al Ansar Beirut | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sagesse SC | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Al Nejmeh | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Tadamon Sour | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Al-Mabarrah | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Racing Beirut | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Al Ahed | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Reyady Abaseya | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Jwaya FC (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jwaya FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/02 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/02 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/02 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Shabab Al-Sahel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/02 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/02 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 31/01 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/01 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/01 | Al Ansar Beirut Club Friendly List |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jwaya FC vs Shabab Al-Sahel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jwaya FC win (55%). Probabilities: Jwaya FC 55%, draw 26%, Shabab Al-Sahel 19%.
How many goals are expected in Jwaya FC vs Shabab Al-Sahel?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Jwaya FC 1.68 · Shabab Al-Sahel 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Jwaya FC vs Shabab Al-Sahel?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.