Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 19/08, 20:00

Prediction: FC Arbaer vs Vidir Gardur

Team pages: FC Arbaer · Vidir Gardur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

FC Arbaer1.57

Vidir Gardur2.14

1X2

28% 22% 50%

FC Arbaer Draw Vidir Gardur

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Arbaer 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Vidir Gardur 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDLWWW

Head-to-head

FC Arbaer 3–1–1 Vidir Gardur (5 last)

Vidir Gardur1-0FC Arbaer
Vidir Gardur1-2FC Arbaer
FC Arbaer2-2Vidir Gardur
Vidir Gardur2-4FC Arbaer
FC Arbaer3-2Vidir Gardur

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vidir Gardur (rating 1419 vs 1559).
H2H favours FC Arbaer: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Arbaer	Vidir Gardur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	2.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.86

Under 4.251.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	10.32 → 10.32	Pinn 10.32
X	7.39 → 7.39	Pinn 7.39
2	1.15 → 1.15	Pinn 1.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +3’	10.32	7.39	1.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arbaer 3–1–1 Vidir Gardur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Vidir Gardur	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Arbaer
21/07/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Vidir Gardur	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Arbaer
04/05/24 Iceland 3 Deild	FC Arbaer	2-2 HT 1-2	Vidir Gardur
11/08/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Vidir Gardur	2-4	FC Arbaer
02/06/23 Iceland 3 Deild	FC Arbaer	3-2 HT 1-1	Vidir Gardur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	17	11	3	3	43	17	36
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	17	11	2	4	52	33	35
3	KH Hlidarendi	17	10	4	3	50	22	34
4	Tindastoll	17	11	1	5	43	30	34
5	KV Vesturbaer	17	9	2	6	49	46	29
6	Hottur/Huginn	17	5	7	5	24	26	22
7	KF Fjallabyggd	17	5	7	5	23	28	22
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	17	5	3	9	34	40	18
9	Sindri	17	5	2	10	28	41	17
10	Ymir Kopavogur	17	4	4	9	25	37	16
11	KA Asvellir	17	5	1	11	27	54	16
12	FC Arbaer	17	2	2	13	23	47	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Arbaer	Vidir Gardur
Sindri	2-5 L	0-1 L
KH Hlidarendi	1-2 L	1-1 D
Augnablik Kopavogur	4-2 W	0-0 D
Tindastoll	0-4 L	3-0 W
KV Vesturbaer	0-2 L	3-5 L
Reynir Sandgerdi	1-3 L	5-0 W
Hottur/Huginn	0-2 L	2-1 W
KF Fjallabyggd	2-2 D	5-0 W
KA Asvellir	1-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 7 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vidir Gardur (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Arbaer

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
08/08	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
25/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
17/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
13/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-3	9	4	L
04/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
27/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-2	1	1	D
19/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
10/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	2	5	L

Vidir Gardur

WWLWDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	4-0	12	2	W
08/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	5-1	7	2	W
29/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
25/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
17/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
13/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
04/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	3-0	3	7	W
26/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-3	3-5	–	–	L
19/06	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
14/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Arbaer vs Vidir Gardur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vidir Gardur win (50%). Probabilities: FC Arbaer 28%, draw 22%, Vidir Gardur 50%.

How many goals are expected in FC Arbaer vs Vidir Gardur?

The model expects 3.71 goals (FC Arbaer 1.57 · Vidir Gardur 2.14), with a 57% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Arbaer vs Vidir Gardur?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.