Prediction: Fjardabyggd vs Vikingur Olafsvik
Expected goals: 4.19 (Fjardabyggd 2.26 · Vikingur Olafsvik 1.93). The model gives 45% home, 22% draw, 33% away. Over 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-1.
On recent form, Fjardabyggd is 3-1-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Vikingur Olafsvik 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Fjardabyggd won 1 and Vikingur Olafsvik 2, with 3 draws.
| Fjardabyggd | Draw | Vikingur Olafsvik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 21% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Olafsvik (rating 1462 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Vikingur Olafsvik: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fjardabyggd | Vikingur Olafsvik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fjardabyggd 1–3–2 Vikingur Olafsvik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Vikingur Olafsvik | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Fjardabyggd |
| 17/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Olafsvik |
| 21/07/24 Iceland 2 Deild | Vikingur Olafsvik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fjardabyggd |
| 11/05/24 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Vikingur Olafsvik |
| 20/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild | Vikingur Olafsvik | 0-0 | Fjardabyggd |
| 11/06/23 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 3-1 | Vikingur Olafsvik |
Standings · Iceland 2 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Dalvik/Reynir | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Kari | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 17 |
| 4 | UMF Selfoss | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 16 |
| 5 | Kormakur/Hvot | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | Fjolnir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 14 |
| 7 | Vikingur Olafsvik | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | KFG Gardabaer | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 29 | 12 |
| 9 | Hviti Riddarinn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Fjardabyggd | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 10 |
| 11 | Throttur Vogar | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 10 |
| 12 | Magni Grenivik | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fjardabyggd | Vikingur Olafsvik |
|---|---|---|
| Dalvik/Reynir | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Hviti Riddarinn | 3-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Fjolnir | 2-3 L | 1-5 L |
| KFG Gardabaer | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Haukar | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Magni Grenivik | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Throttur Vogar | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Kari | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| UMF Selfoss | 4-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 6 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fjardabyggd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 10/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
3-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
4-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 10 | W |
Vikingur Olafsvik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 14/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fjardabyggd vs Vikingur Olafsvik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fjardabyggd win (45%). Probabilities: Fjardabyggd 45%, draw 22%, Vikingur Olafsvik 33%.
How many goals are expected in Fjardabyggd vs Vikingur Olafsvik?
The model expects 4.19 goals (Fjardabyggd 2.26 · Vikingur Olafsvik 1.93), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fjardabyggd vs Vikingur Olafsvik?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.