Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 03/07, 20:00

Prediction: Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik/Reynir

Expected goals: 3.19 (Hviti Riddarinn 1.29 · Dalvik/Reynir 1.9). The model gives 26% home, 23% draw, 51% away. Under 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Hviti Riddarinn with 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Dalvik/Reynir has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span.

51%2
26% 23% 51%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hviti Riddarinn 1480 · Dalvik/Reynir 1551
Hviti RiddarinnDrawDalvik/Reynir
Our model25%24%51%
Market26%21%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.19Hviti Riddarinn 1.29 · Dalvik/Reynir 1.9
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalvik/Reynir (rating 1480 vs 1551).
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hviti RiddarinnDalvik/Reynir
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.91.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.10.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.72.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.36.4 / 0.3

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haukar 11722 281423
2 Dalvik/Reynir 10613 181219
3 Kari 11452 292017
4 UMF Selfoss 10442 212016
5 Kormakur/Hvot 10433 251315
6 Fjolnir 10424 252114
7 Vikingur Olafsvik 10424 162014
8 KFG Gardabaer 10406 142912
9 Hviti Riddarinn 10253 121611
10 Fjardabyggd 10316 242210
11 Throttur Vogar 10316 121910
12 Magni Grenivik 10226 12308

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHviti RiddarinnDalvik/Reynir
Kormakur/Hvot 0-4 L 1-0 W
Fjardabyggd 4-3 W 1-0 W
KFG Gardabaer 0-1 L 6-0 W
Haukar 0-2 L 3-0 W
Magni Grenivik 1-1 D 2-0 W
Throttur Vogar 2-0 W 1-0 W
Kari 0-0 D 0-6 L
UMF Selfoss 1-1 D 2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik 3-3 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 3 L 6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dalvik/Reynir (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hviti Riddarinn

DDDDWDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 0-4 34 L
14/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
3-2 4-3 310 W
10/06 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-1 75 L
05/06 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 0-2 35 L
31/05 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-1 47 D
23/05 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-0 94 W
15/05 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-0 24 D
09/05 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-1 67 D
01/05 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 3-3 D
13/04 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland League Cup B
1-2 4-4 57 D

Dalvik/Reynir

WLLDLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-0 39 W
20/06 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
5-0 6-0 06 W
14/06 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 3-0 16 W
10/06 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 2-0 57 W
06/06 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-0 57 W
31/05 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 0-6 23 L
23/05 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 2-2 107 D
16/05 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-2 55 L
09/05 Fjolnir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-2 75 L
02/05 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-0 612 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik/Reynir?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalvik/Reynir win (51%). Probabilities: Hviti Riddarinn 26%, draw 23%, Dalvik/Reynir 51%.

How many goals are expected in Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik/Reynir?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Hviti Riddarinn 1.29 · Dalvik/Reynir 1.9), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hviti Riddarinn vs Dalvik/Reynir?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.