Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 04/07, 18:00

Prediction: Magni Grenivik vs Throttur Vogar

Expected goals: 3.41 (Magni Grenivik 1.68 · Throttur Vogar 1.73). The model gives 37% home, 23% draw, 39% away. Under 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Magni Grenivik sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while Throttur Vogar arrives on a 3-1-6 run. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Magni Grenivik and 1 for Throttur Vogar, with 1 draw.

39%2
37% 23% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magni Grenivik 1433 · Throttur Vogar 1455
Magni GrenivikDrawThrottur Vogar
Our model37%25%39%
Market38%22%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.41Magni Grenivik 1.68 · Throttur Vogar 1.73
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Magni GrenivikThrottur Vogar
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 3.21.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.50.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.92.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.14.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magni Grenivik 011 Throttur Vogar

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/09/21
Iceland 2 Deild
Throttur Vogar2-2Magni Grenivik
04/07/21
Iceland 2 Deild
Magni Grenivik0-1Throttur Vogar

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haukar 11722 281423
2 Dalvik/Reynir 10613 181219
3 Kari 11452 292017
4 UMF Selfoss 10442 212016
5 Kormakur/Hvot 10433 251315
6 Fjolnir 10424 252114
7 Vikingur Olafsvik 10424 162014
8 KFG Gardabaer 10406 142912
9 Hviti Riddarinn 10253 121611
10 Fjardabyggd 10316 242210
11 Throttur Vogar 10316 121910
12 Magni Grenivik 10226 12308

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMagni GrenivikThrottur Vogar
Kari 1-1 D 1-4 L
UMF Selfoss 4-1 W 1-3 L
Vikingur Olafsvik 1-3 L 1-2 L
Dalvik/Reynir 0-2 L 0-1 L
Kormakur/Hvot 1-7 L 1-1 D
Hviti Riddarinn 1-1 D 0-2 L
Fjardabyggd 0-4 L 2-0 W
Haukar 1-6 L 2-1 W
Fjolnir 1-4 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 6 L 3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Throttur Vogar (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magni Grenivik

LLLLDLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-1 34 D
20/06 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 4-1 105 W
14/06 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-3 34 L
10/06 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 0-2 107 L
05/06 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
1-4 1-7 72 L
31/05 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-1 107 D
23/05 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-4 0-4 35 L
09/05 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 1-6 46 L
01/05 Fjolnir
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 1-4 55 L
29/03 Tindastoll
Iceland Cup
0-2 1-3 43 L

Throttur Vogar

WLWLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Fjolnir
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 3-2 86 W
19/06 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-4 44 L
15/06 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-3 25 L
10/06 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-2 54 L
06/06 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-1 57 L
31/05 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-1 35 D
23/05 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-2 54 L
14/05 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-0 94 W
09/05 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-3 95 L
01/05 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magni Grenivik vs Throttur Vogar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Vogar win (39%). Probabilities: Magni Grenivik 37%, draw 23%, Throttur Vogar 39%.

How many goals are expected in Magni Grenivik vs Throttur Vogar?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Magni Grenivik 1.68 · Throttur Vogar 1.73), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Magni Grenivik vs Throttur Vogar?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.