Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 04/07, 16:00

Prediction: Fjolnir vs Kormakur/Hvot

Expected goals: 4.28 (Fjolnir 2.3 · Kormakur/Hvot 1.97). The model gives 45% home, 22% draw, 33% away. Over 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Recent form leaves Fjolnir with 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Kormakur/Hvot has piled up 3-3-4 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Fjolnir and 0 for Kormakur/Hvot.

45%1
45% 22% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fjolnir 1500 · Kormakur/Hvot 1484
FjolnirDrawKormakur/Hvot
Our model46%21%33%
Market45%22%33%
Estimated total (ours) 4.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.28Fjolnir 2.3 · Kormakur/Hvot 1.97
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 54%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FjolnirKormakur/Hvot
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 2.42.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.91.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.43.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.15.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fjolnir 100 Kormakur/Hvot

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Iceland League Cup B
Fjolnir10-0
HT 4-0
Kormakur/Hvot

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haukar 11722 281423
2 Dalvik/Reynir 10613 181219
3 Kari 11452 292017
4 UMF Selfoss 10442 212016
5 Kormakur/Hvot 10433 251315
6 Fjolnir 10424 252114
7 Vikingur Olafsvik 10424 162014
8 KFG Gardabaer 10406 142912
9 Hviti Riddarinn 10253 121611
10 Fjardabyggd 10316 242210
11 Throttur Vogar 10316 121910
12 Magni Grenivik 10226 12308

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFjolnirKormakur/Hvot
Throttur Vogar 2-3 L 1-1 D
Kari 2-2 D 4-1 W
Fjardabyggd 3-2 W 2-2 D
UMF Selfoss 2-3 L 1-2 L
KFG Gardabaer 3-4 L 2-3 L
Haukar 1-3 L 2-2 D
Dalvik/Reynir 2-1 W 0-1 L
Magni Grenivik 4-1 W 7-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kormakur/Hvot (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fjolnir

LWWLWLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 2-3 86 L
15/06 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-2 74 D
10/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 3-2 61 W
06/06 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 2-3 114 L
01/06 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 3-4 57 L
23/05 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 5-1 22 W
15/05 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-3 56 L
09/05 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 2-1 25 W
01/05 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 4-1 35 W
19/04 Haukar
Iceland League Cup B
0-2 1-4 56 L

Kormakur/Hvot

LLLWDWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland 2 Deild
2-0 4-0 64 W
20/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 2-2 D
14/06 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
2-2 2-3 142 L
10/06 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
2-0 2-2 26 D
05/06 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
4-1 7-1 42 W
31/05 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-1 45 D
23/05 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 4-1 114 W
16/05 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-2 88 L
02/05 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-1 312 L
04/04 Breidablik
Iceland Cup
0-2 1-6 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fjolnir vs Kormakur/Hvot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fjolnir win (45%). Probabilities: Fjolnir 45%, draw 22%, Kormakur/Hvot 33%.

How many goals are expected in Fjolnir vs Kormakur/Hvot?

The model expects 4.28 goals (Fjolnir 2.3 · Kormakur/Hvot 1.97), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fjolnir vs Kormakur/Hvot?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.