Football · Finland Kolmonen · 10/09, 17:00

Prediction: Atlantis FC/PM vs LPS Helsinki

Team pages: Atlantis FC/PM · LPS Helsinki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.69Total

Atlantis FC/PM2.16

LPS Helsinki2.53

1X2

34% 19% 47%

Atlantis FC/PM Draw LPS Helsinki

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 65%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis FC/PM 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWDWW

LPS Helsinki 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Atlantis FC/PM 0–1 LPS Helsinki (1 last)

LPS Helsinki4-1Atlantis FC/PM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis FC/PM 1527 · LPS Helsinki 1570

	Atlantis FC/PM	Draw	LPS Helsinki
Our model	34%	20%	47%
Market	34%	18%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 4.69 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LPS Helsinki (rating 1527 vs 1570).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis FC/PM	LPS Helsinki
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 3.6	3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/13/38%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X5.00

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.90

Under 4.751.90

Diff.: 1 · xG: 5.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +2’	2.63	5.00	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis FC/PM 0–0–1 LPS Helsinki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	4-1 HT 3-1	Atlantis FC/PM

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	18	11	2	5	37	31	35
2	ToTe	17	10	4	3	40	21	34
3	Tips Vantaa	18	10	1	7	43	40	31
4	PPJ/Lauttasaari	18	8	5	5	51	27	29
5	LPS Helsinki	16	9	2	5	45	32	29
6	VJS Vantaa II	18	8	3	7	58	32	27
7	Atlantis FC/PM	18	8	3	7	49	60	27
8	Valtti	17	8	2	7	31	33	26
9	Töölön Taisto	18	4	8	6	37	42	20
10	HPS II	18	4	5	9	41	47	17
11	FC Kontu	18	3	6	9	30	46	15
12	PPS	18	2	1	15	17	68	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis FC/PM	LPS Helsinki
PPS	6-1 W	1-2 L
Töölön Taisto	6-3 W	4-1 W
ToTe	2-2 D	3-1 W
Valtti	3-1 W	3-1 W
HPS II	4-3 W	2-2 D
VJS Vantaa II	1-10 L	0-3 L
FC Kontu	3-2 W	4-3 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-6 L	1-0 W
Tips Vantaa	4-2 W	7-4 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-6 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: LPS Helsinki (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis FC/PM

LWLWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-1	3	2	W
27/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-3	7	2	W
20/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
14/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
30/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-6	3	0	L
25/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-2	9	5	W
12/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-6	–	–	L

LPS Helsinki

WWWLWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-1	6	5	W
27/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	0	2	D
22/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-0	5-0	8	6	W
14/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-1	2	3	W
07/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
30/07	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	9	L
26/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-3	0	1	W
17/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	3-2	7-4	2	4	W
13/06	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis FC/PM vs LPS Helsinki?

According to our model, the most likely result is an LPS Helsinki win (47%). Probabilities: Atlantis FC/PM 34%, draw 19%, LPS Helsinki 47%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis FC/PM vs LPS Helsinki?

The model expects 4.69 goals (Atlantis FC/PM 2.16 · LPS Helsinki 2.53), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis FC/PM vs LPS Helsinki?

The model gives a 65% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.