Football · Finland Kolmonen · 10/09, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Lauttasaari vs VJS Vantaa II

Team pages: PPJ/Lauttasaari · VJS Vantaa II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

PPJ/Lauttasaari2.09

VJS Vantaa II1.9

1X2

43% 22% 35%

PPJ/Lauttasaari Draw VJS Vantaa II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Lauttasaari 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDWLLL

VJS Vantaa II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWWD

Head-to-head

PPJ/Lauttasaari 0–1–0 VJS Vantaa II (1 last)

VJS Vantaa II2-2PPJ/Lauttasaari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1478 · VJS Vantaa II 1534

	PPJ/Lauttasaari	Draw	VJS Vantaa II
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	22%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VJS Vantaa II (rating 1478 vs 1534).
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Lauttasaari	VJS Vantaa II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	3.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/0/78%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.1	2.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:57 +13’	2.10	4.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Lauttasaari 0–1–0 VJS Vantaa II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	VJS Vantaa II	2-2 HT 1-2	PPJ/Lauttasaari

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	18	11	2	5	37	31	35
2	ToTe	17	10	4	3	40	21	34
3	Tips Vantaa	18	10	1	7	43	40	31
4	PPJ/Lauttasaari	18	8	5	5	51	27	29
5	LPS Helsinki	16	9	2	5	45	32	29
6	VJS Vantaa II	18	8	3	7	58	32	27
7	Atlantis FC/PM	18	8	3	7	49	60	27
8	Valtti	17	8	2	7	31	33	26
9	Töölön Taisto	18	4	8	6	37	42	20
10	HPS II	18	4	5	9	41	47	17
11	FC Kontu	18	3	6	9	30	46	15
12	PPS	18	2	1	15	17	68	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Lauttasaari	VJS Vantaa II
MPS/Atletico Malmi	0-2 L	1-2 L
Valtti	0-1 L	3-4 L
Töölön Taisto	0-2 L	1-3 L
FC Kontu	4-1 W	0-1 L
ToTe	1-1 D	3-3 D
LPS Helsinki	0-1 L	3-0 W
HPS II	3-3 D	3-1 W
Atlantis FC/PM	6-2 W	10-1 W
PPS	9-0 W	4-0 W
Tips Vantaa	1-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: VJS Vantaa II (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Lauttasaari

LWWDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	1	3	L
28/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
20/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
14/08	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	4-1	8	4	W
08/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
26/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-3	9	3	D
30/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-2	7	0	W
26/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	3-0	9-0	5	2	W
12/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L

VJS Vantaa II

LLLWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-3	3	5	D
28/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
22/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
13/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
09/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-1	1	4	W
01/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	4-0	10-1	7	2	W
24/07	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	4	9	W
05/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-4	14	4	L
24/06	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-3	6	9	L
12/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs VJS Vantaa II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ/Lauttasaari win (43%). Probabilities: PPJ/Lauttasaari 43%, draw 22%, VJS Vantaa II 35%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs VJS Vantaa II?

The model expects 3.99 goals (PPJ/Lauttasaari 2.09 · VJS Vantaa II 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs VJS Vantaa II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.