Prediction: El Nacional vs Club 9 de Octubre
Team pages: El Nacional · Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre3-1El Nacional
- Club 9 de Octubre1-1El Nacional
- Club 9 de Octubre0-0El Nacional
- El Nacional2-0Club 9 de Octubre
| El Nacional | Draw | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 26% | 65% |
| Market | 14% | 16% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1428 vs 1531).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Nacional | Club 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Nacional 1–2–1 Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-1 HT 2-1 | El Nacional |
| 19/09/25 Ecuador Cup | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-1 HT 1-0 | El Nacional |
| 02/11/22 Ecuador Cup | Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | El Nacional |
| 09/09/22 Ecuador Cup | El Nacional | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club 9 de Octubre | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 31 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | Cumbaya | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | LDU Portoviejo | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | CD Vargas Torres | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 20 |
| 10 | Gualaceo SC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 30 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Nacional | Club 9 de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Cumbaya | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| LDU Portoviejo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 6 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 09/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Manta FC Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Nacional vs Club 9 de Octubre?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club 9 de Octubre win (68%). Probabilities: El Nacional 12%, draw 21%, Club 9 de Octubre 68%.
How many goals are expected in El Nacional vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model expects 1.99 goals (El Nacional 0.43 · Club 9 de Octubre 1.57), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in El Nacional vs Club 9 de Octubre?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.