Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 01/08, 12:00

Prediction: Nacka FC vs Lindö FF

Team pages: Nacka FC · Lindö FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Nacka FC1.95

Lindö FF1.38

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Nacka FC Draw Lindö FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nacka FC 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Lindö FF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nacka FC 0–1 Lindö FF (1 last)

Lindö FF4-0Nacka FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacka FC 1384 · Lindö FF 1503

	Nacka FC	Draw	Lindö FF
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lindö FF (rating 1384 vs 1503).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacka FC	Lindö FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.6	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	3.00 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:49 +10’	2.05	3.50	3.00
23:13 +2’	1.83▼	3.60▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacka FC 0–0–1 Lindö FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Lindö FF	4-0 HT 1-0	Nacka FC

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykopings BIS	14	9	2	3	27	12	29
2	BK Forward	14	9	2	3	29	18	29
3	IFK Haninge	14	9	1	4	36	26	28
4	FOC Farsta	14	8	1	5	30	17	25
5	IK Sleipner	14	7	4	3	26	26	25
6	Smedby AIS	14	7	2	5	29	21	23
7	Ragsveds IF	14	6	4	4	30	23	22
8	Fittja IF	14	6	2	6	27	27	20
9	Örebro Syrianska IF	14	5	1	8	16	16	16
10	Lindö FF	14	5	1	8	21	23	16
11	IF Eker Örebro	14	4	2	8	17	36	14
12	Karlslunds IF FK	14	3	4	7	15	23	13
13	Syrianska FC	14	3	3	8	20	35	12
14	Nacka FC	14	2	1	11	13	33	7
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacka FC	Lindö FF
Nykopings BIS	1-4 L	0-1 L
Karlslunds IF FK	1-2 L	0-0 D
BK Forward	1-2 L	2-4 L
Örebro Syrianska IF	0-2 L	2-0 W
IK Sleipner	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lindö FF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nacka FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-4	3	0	L
21/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
14/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
06/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-5	4	2	L
29/05	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
24/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
16/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
10/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
03/05	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-2	2	3	L

Lindö FF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	1	2	W
21/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
14/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	9	4	W
11/06	AC Studenterna Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
06/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-4	1	3	L
30/05	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
23/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
14/05	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
09/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	2-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacka FC vs Lindö FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacka FC win (49%). Probabilities: Nacka FC 49%, draw 25%, Lindö FF 26%.

How many goals are expected in Nacka FC vs Lindö FF?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Nacka FC 1.95 · Lindö FF 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacka FC vs Lindö FF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.