Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: IK Sleipner vs Karlslunds IF FK

Team pages: IK Sleipner · Karlslunds IF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

IK Sleipner2.19

Karlslunds IF FK1.21

1X2

59% 21% 20%

IK Sleipner Draw Karlslunds IF FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IK Sleipner 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWDDL

Karlslunds IF FK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLLDWD

Head-to-head

IK Sleipner 3–0 Karlslunds IF FK (3 last)

Karlslunds IF FK1-3IK Sleipner
Karlslunds IF FK2-3IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner3-1Karlslunds IF FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Sleipner 1531 · Karlslunds IF FK 1470

	IK Sleipner	Draw	Karlslunds IF FK
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Sleipner (rating 1531 vs 1470).
H2H favours IK Sleipner: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Sleipner	Karlslunds IF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.53 ★
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:05 +8’	1.40	4.50	5.50
05:07 +3’	1.50▲	4.20▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +1’	1.53	4.08	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Sleipner 3–0–0 Karlslunds IF FK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Karlslunds IF FK	1-3 HT 0-2	IK Sleipner
29/07/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Karlslunds IF FK	2-3 HT 2-0	IK Sleipner
07/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	3-1 HT 1-1	Karlslunds IF FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykopings BIS	14	9	2	3	27	12	29
2	BK Forward	14	9	2	3	29	18	29
3	IFK Haninge	14	9	1	4	36	26	28
4	FOC Farsta	15	8	2	5	31	18	26
5	Smedby AIS	15	8	2	5	31	21	26
6	IK Sleipner	14	7	4	3	26	26	25
7	Ragsveds IF	15	6	5	4	31	24	23
8	Fittja IF	14	6	2	6	27	27	20
9	Lindö FF	15	5	2	8	22	24	17
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	15	5	1	9	16	18	16
11	Syrianska FC	15	4	3	8	24	36	15
12	IF Eker Örebro	15	4	2	9	18	40	14
13	Karlslunds IF FK	14	3	4	7	15	23	13
14	Nacka FC	15	2	2	11	14	34	8
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Sleipner	Karlslunds IF FK
IFK Haninge	1-6 L	0-1 L
Ragsveds IF	4-4 D	1-3 L
Syrianska FC	2-1 W	2-3 L
Lindö FF	3-2 W	0-0 D
Nacka FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IK Sleipner (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Sleipner

WWWDLWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-6	5	4	L
22/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	4-4	7	5	D
07/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-1	1	3	W
31/05	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
24/05	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-3	3	3	L
14/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
07/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-1	8	1	W
02/05	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-2	13	3	W
25/04	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-1	6	3	W

Karlslunds IF FK

LDLWLLLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
21/06	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
13/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
07/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
31/05	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
24/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
16/05	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
09/05	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Sleipner vs Karlslunds IF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Sleipner win (59%). Probabilities: IK Sleipner 59%, draw 21%, Karlslunds IF FK 20%.

How many goals are expected in IK Sleipner vs Karlslunds IF FK?

The model expects 3.4 goals (IK Sleipner 2.19 · Karlslunds IF FK 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Sleipner vs Karlslunds IF FK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.