Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Ragsveds IF vs Syrianska FC

Team pages: Ragsveds IF · Syrianska FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Ragsveds IF2.44

Syrianska FC1.54

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Ragsveds IF Draw Syrianska FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ragsveds IF 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDLDLD

Syrianska FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDLW

Head-to-head

Ragsveds IF 1–2–2 Syrianska FC (5 last)

Syrianska FC2-2Ragsveds IF
Ragsveds IF1-2Syrianska FC
Syrianska FC1-1Ragsveds IF
Ragsveds IF1-0Syrianska FC
Syrianska FC2-0Ragsveds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ragsveds IF 1458 · Syrianska FC 1459

	Ragsveds IF	Draw	Syrianska FC
Our model	57%	20%	23%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Syrianska FC: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ragsveds IF	Syrianska FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.02 ★
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:34 +17’	1.61	4.00	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:43	1.59	4.02	3.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ragsveds IF 1–2–2 Syrianska FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Syrianska FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Ragsveds IF
26/09/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Ragsveds IF	1-2 HT 0-1	Syrianska FC
24/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Syrianska FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Ragsveds IF
04/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Ragsveds IF	1-0 HT 1-0	Syrianska FC
01/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Syrianska FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Ragsveds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	15	10	2	3	30	18	32
2	IFK Haninge	15	10	1	4	38	26	31
3	Nykopings BIS	15	9	2	4	27	13	29
4	IK Sleipner	15	8	4	3	30	28	28
5	FOC Farsta	15	8	2	5	31	18	26
6	Smedby AIS	15	8	2	5	31	21	26
7	Ragsveds IF	15	6	5	4	31	24	23
8	Fittja IF	15	6	2	7	27	29	20
9	Lindö FF	15	5	2	8	22	24	17
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	15	5	1	9	16	18	16
11	Syrianska FC	15	4	3	8	24	36	15
12	IF Eker Örebro	15	4	2	9	18	40	14
13	Karlslunds IF FK	15	3	4	8	17	27	13
14	Nacka FC	15	2	2	11	14	34	8
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ragsveds IF	Syrianska FC
BK Forward	1-2 L	0-1 L
IK Sleipner	4-4 D	1-2 L
Smedby AIS	2-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ragsveds IF (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ragsveds IF

WLLLWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	12	4	D
28/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
22/06	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
17/06	Enkopings SK Sweden Cup	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
13/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-4	3	5	D
06/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	4-2	5	3	W
30/05	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	3-4	8	2	L
23/05	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-2	7	7	L
15/05	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
09/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	0	5	W

Syrianska FC

LLDLWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-1	4-1	1	2	W
28/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
22/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
14/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
06/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
31/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	3-2	5	4	W
23/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-4	4	0	L
16/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
07/05	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
02/05	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	3-4	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ragsveds IF vs Syrianska FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ragsveds IF win (56%). Probabilities: Ragsveds IF 56%, draw 22%, Syrianska FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ragsveds IF vs Syrianska FC?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Ragsveds IF 2.44 · Syrianska FC 1.54), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ragsveds IF vs Syrianska FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.