Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Haninge vs FOC Farsta

Team pages: IFK Haninge · FOC Farsta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

IFK Haninge2.11

FOC Farsta1.58

1X2

49% 23% 28%

IFK Haninge Draw FOC Farsta

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Haninge 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWLW

FOC Farsta 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWLWD

Head-to-head

IFK Haninge 1–1–1 FOC Farsta (3 last)

FOC Farsta5-0IFK Haninge
FOC Farsta3-3IFK Haninge
IFK Haninge2-0FOC Farsta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Haninge 1595 · FOC Farsta 1552

	IFK Haninge	Draw	FOC Farsta
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	49%	23%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Haninge (rating 1595 vs 1552).
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Haninge	FOC Farsta
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.6	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.90 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.67 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:34 +5’	1.90	3.90	3.10
23:22 +4’	1.90	4.00▲	3.10
03:03 +8’	1.83▼	4.00	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:10	1.67	3.93	3.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Haninge 1–1–1 FOC Farsta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	5-0 HT 3-0	IFK Haninge
29/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	3-3 HT 2-1	IFK Haninge
27/05/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IFK Haninge	2-0 HT 1-0	FOC Farsta

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BK Forward	15	10	2	3	30	18	32
2	IFK Haninge	15	10	1	4	38	26	31
3	Nykopings BIS	15	9	2	4	27	13	29
4	IK Sleipner	15	8	4	3	30	28	28
5	FOC Farsta	15	8	2	5	31	18	26
6	Smedby AIS	15	8	2	5	31	21	26
7	Ragsveds IF	15	6	5	4	31	24	23
8	Fittja IF	15	6	2	7	27	29	20
9	Lindö FF	15	5	2	8	22	24	17
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	15	5	1	9	16	18	16
11	Syrianska FC	15	4	3	8	24	36	15
12	IF Eker Örebro	15	4	2	9	18	40	14
13	Karlslunds IF FK	15	3	4	8	17	27	13
14	Nacka FC	15	2	2	11	14	34	8
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Haninge	FOC Farsta
Smedby AIS	4-1 W	1-1 D
Örebro Syrianska IF	3-0 W	1-0 W
IF Eker Örebro	3-1 W	4-1 W
Karlslunds IF FK	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Haninge (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IFK Haninge

WLWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
25/07	FC Arlanda Club Friendly List	1-2	1-6	0	1	L
27/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	6-1	4	4	W
21/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
13/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
09/06	Vendelso IK Sweden Cup Qualification	2-0	4-1	15	2	W
06/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	5-1	7	2	W
31/05	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	3-1	6	1	W
22/05	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
16/05	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

FOC Farsta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
27/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
13/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	6	0	W
06/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	2-1	9	4	W
30/05	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
22/05	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
15/05	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/05	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Haninge vs FOC Farsta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Haninge win (49%). Probabilities: IFK Haninge 49%, draw 23%, FOC Farsta 28%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Haninge vs FOC Farsta?

The model expects 3.69 goals (IFK Haninge 2.11 · FOC Farsta 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Haninge vs FOC Farsta?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.