Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Lindö FF vs Nykopings BIS

Team pages: Lindö FF · Nykopings BIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Lindö FF1.26

Nykopings BIS1.74

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Lindö FF Draw Nykopings BIS

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Lindö FF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDLLLL

Nykopings BIS 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWLDL

Head-to-head

Lindö FF 0–1 Nykopings BIS (1 last)

Nykopings BIS1-0Lindö FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lindö FF 1450 · Nykopings BIS 1476

	Lindö FF	Draw	Nykopings BIS
Our model	27%	26%	48%
Market	28%	23%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lindö FF	Nykopings BIS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X4.00

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 02:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	2.05 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +95’	2.80	3.75	2.05
22:59 +32’	2.75▼	3.90▲	2.05
02:36 +2’	3.20▲	4.00▲	1.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lindö FF 0–0–1 Nykopings BIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nykopings BIS	1-0 HT 0-0	Lindö FF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	19	11	4	4	43	31	37
2	FOC Farsta	19	11	3	5	42	21	36
3	BK Forward	19	11	3	5	37	23	36
4	IFK Haninge	20	11	3	6	49	36	36
5	Smedby AIS	19	10	4	5	38	25	34
6	Nykopings BIS	19	10	3	6	31	21	33
7	Ragsveds IF	20	9	5	6	38	32	32
8	Fittja IF	19	9	2	8	33	32	29
9	Karlslunds IF FK	19	6	5	8	25	29	23
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	19	6	2	11	18	22	20
11	Lindö FF	19	5	2	12	26	36	17
12	Nacka FC	19	5	2	12	21	38	17
13	Syrianska FC	19	4	4	11	28	48	16
14	IF Eker Örebro	19	4	2	13	19	54	14
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lindö FF	Nykopings BIS
IFK Haninge	1-6 L	2-2 D
IK Sleipner	1-2 L	1-0 W
Fittja IF	2-3 L	0-2 L
Nacka FC	1-1 D	4-1 W
Smedby AIS	2-0 W	0-1 L
Ragsveds IF	2-4 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nykopings BIS (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lindö FF

LLWWWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-3	1-6	2	2	L
22/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
13/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
09/08	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	2-3	5	5	L
01/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
24/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
21/06	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
14/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	9	4	W
06/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-4	1	3	L
30/05	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	10	1	L

Nykopings BIS

WLLDWLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	2-2	4	7	D
14/08	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	10	3	L
09/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/06	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	4-1	8	0	W
22/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
15/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
06/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
29/05	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lindö FF vs Nykopings BIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nykopings BIS win (49%). Probabilities: Lindö FF 27%, draw 24%, Nykopings BIS 49%.

How many goals are expected in Lindö FF vs Nykopings BIS?

The model expects 3 goals (Lindö FF 1.26 · Nykopings BIS 1.74), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lindö FF vs Nykopings BIS?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.