Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: BK Forward vs FOC Farsta
Team pages: BK Forward · FOC Farsta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
BK Forward1.56
FOC Farsta1.41
1X2
BK Forward
Draw
FOC Farsta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
BK Forward
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FOC Farsta
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BK Forward
0–3
FOC Farsta
(3 last)
- FOC Farsta2-1BK Forward
- FOC Farsta4-0BK Forward
- BK Forward1-2FOC Farsta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BK Forward 1511 · FOC Farsta 1578
| BK Forward | Draw | FOC Farsta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 23% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FOC Farsta (rating 1511 vs 1578).
- H2H favours FOC Farsta: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BK Forward | FOC Farsta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 6.3 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Forward 0–0–3 FOC Farsta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 2-1 HT 2-0 | BK Forward |
| 14/09/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | FOC Farsta | 4-0 HT 2-0 | BK Forward |
| 06/06/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand | BK Forward | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FOC Farsta |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IK Sleipner | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 31 | 37 |
| 2 | FOC Farsta | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | BK Forward | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | IFK Haninge | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 49 | 36 | 36 |
| 5 | Smedby AIS | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 34 |
| 6 | Nykopings BIS | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 33 |
| 7 | Ragsveds IF | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 29 |
| 9 | Karlslunds IF FK | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 23 |
| 10 | Örebro Syrianska IF | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | Lindö FF | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | Nacka FC | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 38 | 17 |
| 13 | Syrianska FC | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 48 | 16 |
| 14 | IF Eker Örebro | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 54 | 14 |
| 15 | IF Sylvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BK Forward | FOC Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Smedby AIS | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Nacka FC | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Örebro Syrianska IF | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Nykopings BIS | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Ragsveds IF | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Karlslunds IF FK | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FOC Farsta (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BK Forward
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
FOC Farsta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BK Forward vs FOC Farsta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Forward win (41%). Probabilities: BK Forward 41%, draw 25%, FOC Farsta 34%.
How many goals are expected in BK Forward vs FOC Farsta?
The model expects 2.97 goals (BK Forward 1.56 · FOC Farsta 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in BK Forward vs FOC Farsta?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.