Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 12/09, 13:00

Prediction: IK Sleipner vs Nacka FC

Team pages: IK Sleipner · Nacka FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

IK Sleipner2.43

Nacka FC1.36

1X2

60% 21% 19%

IK Sleipner Draw Nacka FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Sleipner 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLWWWW

Nacka FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWWLD

Head-to-head

IK Sleipner 4–1 Nacka FC (5 last)

Nacka FC1-2IK Sleipner
Nacka FC0-1IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner1-0Nacka FC
IK Sleipner2-1Nacka FC
Nacka FC2-1IK Sleipner

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Sleipner 1569 · Nacka FC 1470

	IK Sleipner	Draw	Nacka FC
Our model	60%	20%	19%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Sleipner (rating 1569 vs 1470).
H2H favours IK Sleipner: 4-0-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Sleipner	Nacka FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.8	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	4.10 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +4’	1.61	4.00	4.10
01:26 +2’	1.50▼	4.20▲	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Sleipner 4–0–1 Nacka FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nacka FC	1-2 HT 1-0	IK Sleipner
01/05/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nacka FC	0-1 HT 0-1	IK Sleipner
28/03/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	1-0 HT 1-0	Nacka FC
11/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	2-1 HT 1-0	Nacka FC
14/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nacka FC	2-1 HT 0-1	IK Sleipner

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	21	13	4	4	47	32	43
2	FOC Farsta	20	12	3	5	44	22	39
3	IFK Haninge	20	11	3	6	49	36	36
4	BK Forward	20	11	3	6	38	25	36
5	Nykopings BIS	20	11	3	6	34	21	36
6	Smedby AIS	20	10	5	5	39	26	35
7	Ragsveds IF	21	10	5	6	40	33	35
8	Fittja IF	20	9	3	8	33	32	30
9	Karlslunds IF FK	21	6	6	9	28	35	24
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	21	7	2	12	22	25	23
11	Nacka FC	21	5	3	13	22	40	18
12	Lindö FF	21	5	2	14	27	41	17
13	Syrianska FC	20	4	5	11	28	48	17
14	IF Eker Örebro	20	4	3	13	22	57	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Sleipner	Nacka FC
Örebro Syrianska IF	3-1 W	1-0 W
IF Eker Örebro	7-1 W	4-0 W
Lindö FF	2-1 W	1-1 D
Nykopings BIS	0-1 L	1-4 L
IFK Haninge	1-6 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IK Sleipner (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Sleipner

WDDLWLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	7-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
13/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
09/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-2	8	1	W
27/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-6	5	4	L
22/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
13/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	4-4	7	5	D
07/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-0	3-1	1	3	W

Nacka FC

LLLLDWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
28/08	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-4	8	4	L
22/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	16	4	W
09/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
01/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
25/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-4	3	0	L
21/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
14/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
06/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-5	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Sleipner vs Nacka FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Sleipner win (60%). Probabilities: IK Sleipner 60%, draw 21%, Nacka FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in IK Sleipner vs Nacka FC?

The model expects 3.79 goals (IK Sleipner 2.43 · Nacka FC 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Sleipner vs Nacka FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.