Football · Finland Kolmonen · 10/09, 17:00

Prediction: TiPS U21 vs FC Lahti II

Team pages: TiPS U21 · FC Lahti II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

TiPS U211.24

FC Lahti II2.69

1X2

16% 16% 68%

TiPS U21 Draw FC Lahti II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

TiPS U21 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

FC Lahti II 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWDDDDDW

Head-to-head

TiPS U21 0–1 FC Lahti II (1 last)

FC Lahti II4-0TiPS U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TiPS U21 1384 · FC Lahti II 1532

	TiPS U21	Draw	FC Lahti II
Our model	15%	18%	67%
Market	16%	15%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lahti II (rating 1384 vs 1532).
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TiPS U21	FC Lahti II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 3.1	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/22/67%	57/14/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

15.50

X6.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.88

2 (-1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:48 +5’	5.50	6.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TiPS U21 0–0–1 FC Lahti II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Lahti II	4-0 HT 2-0	TiPS U21

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Futura	17	14	2	1	57	15	44
2	Sibbov	15	11	2	2	63	26	35
3	JäPS/47	16	9	3	4	39	24	30
4	RiPS	17	9	2	6	44	29	29
5	FC Lahti II	16	7	7	2	27	19	28
6	TuPS	17	6	1	10	32	28	19
7	Ponnistus	17	5	3	9	27	44	18
8	Atlantis II	16	5	3	8	29	57	18
9	Gnistan/Ogeli	16	4	3	9	25	45	15
10	ToTe/Tapio	17	3	4	10	21	46	13
11	TiPS U21	16	1	2	13	13	44	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TiPS U21	FC Lahti II
ToTe/Tapio	0-1 L	0-0 D
Sibbov	0-3 L	2-2 D
FC Futura	1-3 L	1-4 L
Ponnistus	1-4 L	2-2 D
Gnistan/Ogeli	0-2 L	2-0 W
Atlantis II	3-2 W	1-1 D
TuPS	0-4 L	2-0 W
RiPS	1-4 L	2-2 D
JäPS/47	0-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 8 L	2 W 6 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lahti II (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TiPS U21

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
27/08	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	6	1	L
14/08	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/08	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	5	7	L
01/08	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
23/07	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	11	2	W
02/07	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
17/06	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	1	0	L
11/06	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
05/06	FC Lahti II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	2	2	L

FC Lahti II

WLDWDDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
28/08	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	–	0-0	–	–	D
21/08	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
14/08	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
07/08	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	–	3-3	–	–	D
01/08	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	9	0	D
02/07	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
24/06	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
12/06	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/06	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TiPS U21 vs FC Lahti II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lahti II win (68%). Probabilities: TiPS U21 16%, draw 16%, FC Lahti II 68%.

How many goals are expected in TiPS U21 vs FC Lahti II?

The model expects 3.92 goals (TiPS U21 1.24 · FC Lahti II 2.69), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TiPS U21 vs FC Lahti II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.