Football · Finland Kolmonen · 15/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Haka Juniors vs Fish United

Team pages: FC Haka Juniors · Fish United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.53Total

FC Haka Juniors2.92

Fish United1.6

1X2

64% 17% 19%

FC Haka Juniors Draw Fish United

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Haka Juniors 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLLLWW

Fish United 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Haka Juniors 1–0 Fish United (1 last)

Fish United0-3FC Haka Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Haka Juniors 1470 · Fish United 1383

	FC Haka Juniors	Draw	Fish United
Our model	64%	17%	19%
Market	65%	16%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 4.53 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Haka Juniors (rating 1470 vs 1383).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Haka Juniors	Fish United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.2 / 4.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.5	0.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.8	1.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.98

Under 4.51.82

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 5.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +20’	1.40	5.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Haka Juniors 1–0–0 Fish United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	Fish United	0-3 HT 0-0	FC Haka Juniors

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lasten	19	18	1	0	77	16	55
2	TPV II	19	15	1	3	55	23	46
3	NoPS	19	14	2	3	64	21	44
4	Tampere Utd II	19	13	3	3	55	18	42
5	FC LeKi	18	8	2	8	42	35	26
6	TP-T	18	7	2	9	44	37	23
7	Ylojarvi United	19	7	2	10	37	44	23
8	Saaksjærven Loiske	19	7	2	10	27	42	23
9	FC Haka Juniors	19	7	1	11	38	55	22
10	Fish United	19	3	2	14	21	63	11
11	ACE	19	3	1	15	32	58	10
12	TP-49	19	1	1	17	20	100	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Haka Juniors	Fish United
ACE	4-2 W	5-2 W
Ylojarvi United	5-4 W	0-4 L
Saaksjærven Loiske	1-3 L	0-0 D
TP-T	0-7 L	1-4 L
FC Lasten	1-2 L	1-5 L
TPV II	0-5 L	0-2 L
Tampere Utd II	2-2 D	1-6 L
NoPS	0-7 L	0-8 L
FC LeKi	1-4 L	1-5 L
TP-49	3-1 W	3-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: FC Haka Juniors (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Haka Juniors

WLLDLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	ACE Finland Kolmonen	–	4-2	–	–	W
01/09	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	3-2	5-4	4	7	W
27/08	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	4	1	L
18/08	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	3	1	L
11/08	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
07/08	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-5	–	–	L
28/07	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
24/07	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-7	2	3	L
03/07	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
24/06	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	6	4	W

Fish United

DLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	FC Lasten Finland Kolmonen	–	1-5	–	–	L
02/09	TPV II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
27/08	Tampere Utd II Finland Kolmonen	0-3	1-6	4	3	L
20/08	NoPS Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-8	3	3	L
13/08	FC LeKi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-5	–	–	L
05/08	TP-49 Finland Kolmonen	–	3-6	–	–	L
30/07	TP-T Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
23/07	ACE Finland Kolmonen	3-2	5-2	9	5	W
02/07	Ylojarvi United Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
24/06	Saaksjærven Loiske Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Haka Juniors vs Fish United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Haka Juniors win (64%). Probabilities: FC Haka Juniors 64%, draw 17%, Fish United 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Haka Juniors vs Fish United?

The model expects 4.53 goals (FC Haka Juniors 2.92 · Fish United 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Haka Juniors vs Fish United?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.