Football · South Korea Women K League · 18/07, 12:00
Prediction: Mungyeong Sangmu Women vs Gangjin Swans (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Mungyeong Sangmu Women1.6
Gangjin Swans (W)1.25
1X2
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Draw
Gangjin Swans (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Gangjin Swans (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
4–1–1
Gangjin Swans (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1485 · Gangjin Swans (W) 1380
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | Draw | Gangjin Swans (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mungyeong Sangmu Women (rating 1485 vs 1380).
- H2H favours Mungyeong Sangmu Women: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | Gangjin Swans (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/10/90% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 4–1–1 Gangjin Swans (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 11/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 29/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 21/08/25 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 22/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 17/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 23 |
| 4 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Gyeongju (W) | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 17 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 15 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | Gangjin Swans (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Suwon FMC (W) | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Gyeongju (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Mungyeong Sangmu Women (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 01/07 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Gangjin Swans (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mungyeong Sangmu Women vs Gangjin Swans (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mungyeong Sangmu Women win (45%). Probabilities: Mungyeong Sangmu Women 45%, draw 27%, Gangjin Swans (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Mungyeong Sangmu Women vs Gangjin Swans (W)?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.6 · Gangjin Swans (W) 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mungyeong Sangmu Women vs Gangjin Swans (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.