Football · South Korea Women K League · 24/07, 12:00
Prediction: Gyeongju (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Gyeongju (W)1.82
Gangjin Swans (W)1.17
1X2
Gyeongju (W)
Draw
Gangjin Swans (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gyeongju (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Gangjin Swans (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gyeongju (W)
4–2–0
Gangjin Swans (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gyeongju (W) 1552 · Gangjin Swans (W) 1403
| Gyeongju (W) | Draw | Gangjin Swans (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyeongju (W) (rating 1552 vs 1403).
- H2H favours Gyeongju (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gyeongju (W) | Gangjin Swans (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyeongju (W) 4–2–0 Gangjin Swans (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Gyeongju (W) |
| 18/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Gyeongju (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 18/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Gyeongju (W) |
| 23/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Gyeongju (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 12/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Gyeongju (W) |
| 10/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Gyeongju (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | Gyeongju (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| 5 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 18 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gyeongju (W) | Gangjin Swans (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Suwon FMC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-6 L |
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gyeongju (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gyeongju (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Gangjin Swans (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-4 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gyeongju (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyeongju (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Gyeongju (W) 52%, draw 25%, Gangjin Swans (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Gyeongju (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Gyeongju (W) 1.82 · Gangjin Swans (W) 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Gyeongju (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.