Football · South Korea Women K League · 24/07, 12:00
Prediction: Suwon FMC (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Suwon FMC (W)1.95
Incheon Red Angels (W)0.84
1X2
Suwon FMC (W)
Draw
Incheon Red Angels (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Suwon FMC (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Incheon Red Angels (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suwon FMC (W)
1–3–2
Incheon Red Angels (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suwon FMC (W) 1585 · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1476
| Suwon FMC (W) | Draw | Incheon Red Angels (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FMC (W) (rating 1585 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Incheon Red Angels (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suwon FMC (W) | Incheon Red Angels (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.6 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.9 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon FMC (W) 1–3–2 Incheon Red Angels (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 17/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 02/10/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 25/08/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 05/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 24/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suwon FMC (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | Gyeongju (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| 5 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 18 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suwon FMC (W) | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Gyeongju (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Gangjin Swans (W) | 6-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Suwon FMC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suwon FMC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Incheon Red Angels (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suwon FMC (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon FMC (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Suwon FMC (W) 62%, draw 23%, Incheon Red Angels (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Suwon FMC (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Suwon FMC (W) 1.95 · Incheon Red Angels (W) 0.84), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Suwon FMC (W) vs Incheon Red Angels (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.