Football · South Korea Women K League · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Suwon FMC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Suwon FMC (W)1.48
Hwacheon KSPO (W)1.23
1X2
Suwon FMC (W)
Draw
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Suwon FMC (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suwon FMC (W)
2–1–3
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suwon FMC (W) 1613 · Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1592
| Suwon FMC (W) | Draw | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hwacheon KSPO (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suwon FMC (W) | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.6 | 2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 7.7 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suwon FMC (W) 2–1–3 Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 10/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
| 29/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
| 21/08/25 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 22/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
| 17/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Suwon FMC (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 23 |
| 4 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
| 5 | Gyeongju (W) | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 17 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 15 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suwon FMC (W) | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gyeongju (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Gangjin Swans (W) | 6-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Suwon FMC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suwon FMC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suwon FMC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suwon FMC (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Suwon FMC (W) 42%, draw 27%, Hwacheon KSPO (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in Suwon FMC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Suwon FMC (W) 1.48 · Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Suwon FMC (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.